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Iceland U19 W vs Belgium U19 W

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Euro U19 Women 2025 Pinatar Arena
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AI Match Summary

Iceland U19 W play Belgium U19 W in the Euro U19 Women 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iceland U19 W averaged 1.56 goals scored and 1.81 conceded. Belgium U19 W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. In past meetings, Iceland U19 W won 1, Belgium U19 W won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Nov 27, 2024 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Iceland U19 W and 1.44 for Belgium U19 W. This points to a Belgium U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Iceland U19 W
22%
Draws
42%
Belgium U19 W
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Belgium U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Iceland U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Belgium U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 62%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Iceland U19 W Clean Sheet 16%
Belgium U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iceland U19 W Belgium U19 W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.56 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 27, 2024 Euro U19 Women
Iceland U19 W vs Belgium U19 W
1:1
Apr 6, 2022 Euro U19 Women
Iceland U19 W vs Belgium U19 W
1:2
Oct 8, 2018 Euro U19 Women
Iceland U19 W vs Belgium U19 W
5:1
Apr 24, 2008 Euro U19 Women
Iceland U19 W vs Belgium U19 W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iceland U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sveinsdottir B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Belgium U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Reynders A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iceland U19 W 36 / 100
Belgium U19 W 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iceland U19 W Belgium U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Belgium U19 W or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.79
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iceland U19 W attacking → ← attacking Belgium U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iceland U19 W scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Belgium U19 W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Iceland U19 W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Belgium U19 W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 41
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Germany U19 W330013:19
2Denmark U19 W32015:56
3Greece U19 W31022:53
4Kosovo U19 W30030:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France U19 W330016:09
2Portugal U19 W32015:46
3Slovakia U19 W31024:103
4North Macedonia U19 W30030:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway U19 W33006:09
2Ireland U19 W32015:26
3Finland U19 W31025:43
4Bulgaria U19 W30030:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Italy U19 W320112:26
2Poland U19 W320110:26
3England U19 W32013:26
4Turkey U19 W30031:200
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Austria U19 W32109:17
2Czech Republic U19 W31204:05
3Serbia U19 W31116:34
4Faroe Islands U19 W30032:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U19 W330015:09
2Belgium U19 W31113:84
3Iceland U19 W30212:52
4Northern Ireland U19 W30122:91
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Netherlands U19 W320111:46
2Sweden U19 W32017:36
3Scotland U19 W32018:76
4Hungary U19 W30031:130