Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iceland U19 W vs Portugal U19 W

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Women 2025 Estádio Nacional do Jamor, Lisbon - Oeiras
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Sub
Mariano M. In: Bras L.
Out: Mariano M.
42' Event
Correia M.
Assist: Cunha R.
45'
Sub
Linnet J. In: Robertsdottir S.
Out: Linnet J.

AI Match Summary

The Euro U19 Women 2025 game between Iceland U19 W and Portugal U19 W finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Portugal U19 W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Iceland U19 W
30%
Draws
52%
Portugal U19 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portugal U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Portugal U19 W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Portugal U19 W a 52% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U19 Women 2025 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Iceland U19 W Clean Sheet 12%
Portugal U19 W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iceland U19 W Portugal U19 W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 19
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 4
Goals Scored 1.47 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.9 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Euro U19 Women
Portugal U19 W vs Iceland U19 W
3:0
Apr 2, 2025 Euro U19 Women
Iceland U19 W vs Portugal U19 W
0:2
Jan 20, 2024 Friendly International Women
Portugal U19 W vs Iceland U19 W
2:2
Feb 18, 2023 Friendly International Women
Portugal U19 W vs Iceland U19 W
2:3
Apr 9, 2013 Euro U19 Women
Iceland U19 W vs Portugal U19 W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iceland U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Portugal U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Correia M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iceland U19 W 10 / 100
Portugal U19 W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iceland U19 W Portugal U19 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Portugal U19 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:2
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iceland U19 W found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Portugal U19 W has conceded goals in 52% of their last 31 outings.

Iceland U19 W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iceland U19 W VS Portugal U19 W
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Iceland U19 W

(Home)
04 Jul
Iceland U19 W
3 : 4
Switzerland U19 W
01 Jul
Spain U19 W
4 : 0
Iceland U19 W
28 Jun
Austria U19 W
3 : 0
Iceland U19 W
08 Jun
Sweden U18 W
1 : 0
Iceland U19 W
06 Jun
Norway U18 W
2 : 3
Iceland U19 W
Page 1 of 6

Portugal U19 W

(Away)
18 Apr
Portugal U19 W
0 : 0
Spain U19 W
15 Apr
Portugal U19 W
3 : 0
Hungary U19 W
12 Apr
Northern Ireland U19 W
0 : 1
Portugal U19 W
06 Mar
Portugal U19 W
1 : 1
USA U19 W
02 Mar
Portugal U19 W
2 : 2
Czech Republic U19 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U19 W 3 3 0 0 11:0 9
2 Denmark U19 W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Greece U19 W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Romania U19 W 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - Euro U19 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U19 W 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Norway U19 W 3 2 1 0 3:1 7
3 Iceland U19 W 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
4 Slovenia U19 W 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - Euro U19 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U19 W 3 3 0 0 21:1 9
2 Austria U19 W 3 2 0 1 7:6 6
3 Belgium U19 W 3 1 0 2 5:10 3
4 Ukraine U19 W 3 0 0 3 1:17 0
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - Euro U19 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U19 W 3 2 1 0 13:2 7
2 Sweden U19 W 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
3 Belarus U19 W 3 0 1 2 2:9 1
4 Slovakia U19 W 3 0 1 2 2:10 1
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - Euro U19 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U19 W 3 3 0 0 17:0 9
2 Switzerland U19 W 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Scotland U19 W 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Czech Republic U19 W 3 0 0 3 0:15 0
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - Euro U19 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U19 W 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
2 Wales U19 W 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Ireland U19 W 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Serbia U19 W 3 0 1 2 4:6 1
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - Euro U19 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poland U19 W 3 2 0 1 8:2 6
2 Germany U19 W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
3 Finland U19 W 3 2 0 1 4:2 6
4 Israel U19 W 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - Euro U19 Women 2025 (Main)
Ranking of third-placed teams
Relegation - Euro U19 Women 2026 (Round 1 - League B)