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Iceland U21 vs Hungary U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Pinatar Arena, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Mikaelsson H.
36' Event
Yaakobishvili A.
Own Goal
46'
Sub
Andresson B. In: Hardarson H.
Out: Andresson B.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Iceland U21 and Hungary U21 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iceland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Iceland U21
6%
Draws
4%
Hungary U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Iceland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Iceland U21 come out ahead of Hungary U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Iceland U21 a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Iceland U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Hungary U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iceland U21 Hungary U21
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 15 12
Draws 4 5
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2025 Friendly International
Iceland U21 vs Hungary U21
3:0
Jun 19, 2023 Friendly International
Hungary U21 vs Iceland U21
0:1
Jun 3, 2005 Euro U21
Iceland U21 vs Hungary U21
0:1
Sep 6, 2004 Euro U21
Hungary U21 vs Iceland U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iceland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mikaelsson H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thorkelsson R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Hungary U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iceland U21 95 / 100
Hungary U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iceland U21 Hungary U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ICE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Iceland U21 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Hungary U21 let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Iceland U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iceland U21 VS Hungary U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iceland U21

(Home)
30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1
Iceland U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2
Estonia U21
13 Nov
Luxembourg U21
1 : 3
Iceland U21
14 Oct
Iceland U21
2 : 1
Luxembourg U21
10 Oct
Switzerland U21
0 : 0
Iceland U21
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Hungary U21

(Away)
31 Mar
Hungary U21
1 : 2
Ukraine U21
26 Mar
Hungary U21
0 : 1
Israel U21
18 Nov
Hungary U21
0 : 2
Croatia U21
13 Nov
Hungary U21
3 : 0
Faroe Islands U21
14 Oct
Hungary U21
1 : 1
Turkey U21
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