Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 2025 Víkingsvöllur, Reykjavík

Iceland U21

0 - 2

Lithuania U21

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Steponavicius F.

Assist: Jansonas R.

31'

Jansonas R.

47'

Sub

Setkus M. In: Burdzilauskas E.

Out: Setkus M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 2025 game between Iceland U21 and Lithuania U21 finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lithuania U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Iceland U21

Draws

Lithuania U21

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Iceland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Iceland U21 come out ahead of Lithuania U21 on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on Iceland U21 taking it.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Lithuania U21 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%

Iceland U21 Clean Sheet 68%

Lithuania U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Iceland U21	Lithuania U21
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	15	2
Draws	4	6
Losses	11	21
Goals Scored	1.75	0.38
Goals Conceded	1.13	2.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2024 Euro U21

Iceland U21 vs Lithuania U21

0:2

Oct 17, 2023 Euro U21

Lithuania U21 vs Iceland U21

0:1

Jun 10, 2003 Euro U21

Lithuania U21 vs Iceland U21

3:0

Oct 15, 2002 Euro U21

Iceland U21 vs Lithuania U21

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iceland U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Lithuania U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Steponavicius F.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Jansonas R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iceland U21 95 / 100

Lithuania U21 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Iceland U21 Lithuania U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ICE Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 3:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Iceland U21 scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Lithuania U21 let in goals in 97% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Iceland U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iceland U21 VS Lithuania U21

1.75 Goals Scored 0.38

1.13 Goals Conceded 2.25

75% Over 1.5 100%

63% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iceland U21

(Home)

30 Mar

France U21

2 : 1

Iceland U21

26 Mar

Iceland U21

6 : 2

Estonia U21

13 Nov

Luxembourg U21

1 : 3

Iceland U21

14 Oct

Iceland U21

2 : 1

Luxembourg U21

10 Oct

Switzerland U21

0 : 0

Iceland U21

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Lithuania U21

(Away)

09 Jun

Lithuania U21

2 : 2

Latvia U21

07 Jun

Estonia U21

2 : 2

Lithuania U21

27 Mar

Ukraine U21

1 : 1

Lithuania U21

18 Nov

Lithuania U21

1 : 2

Turkey U21

13 Nov

Croatia U21

4 : 0

Lithuania U21

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