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Iceland W vs Croatia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Iceland W have averaged 1.21 scored and 1.48 conceded recently, against Croatia W's 1.25 scored and 1.61 conceded. Head-to-head, Iceland W have won 2 to Croatia W's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 22, 2010, ending 3:0. xG projections (1.00 - 1.94) back Iceland W to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Iceland W
15%
Draws
57%
Croatia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Croatia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Iceland W haven't matched Croatia W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Croatia W a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Croatia W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Iceland W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Iceland W Clean Sheet 10%
Croatia W Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iceland W Croatia W
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 6 2
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.21 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2010 World Cup Women
Iceland W vs Croatia W
3:0
Mar 31, 2010 World Cup Women
Croatia W vs Iceland W
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iceland W 10 / 100
Croatia W 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iceland W Croatia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Croatia W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iceland W scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Croatia W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Iceland W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iceland W VS Croatia W
1 Goals Scored 2.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iceland W

(Home)
09 Jun
Iceland W
1 : 6
Spain W
05 Jun
Ukraine W
0 : 1
Iceland W
18 Apr
Iceland W
0 : 1
England W
14 Apr
Iceland W
1 : 0
Ukraine W
07 Mar
England W
2 : 0
Iceland W
Page 1 of 6

Croatia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Croatia W
4 : 0
Bulgaria W
05 Jun
Kosovo W
0 : 1
Croatia W
18 Apr
Croatia W
9 : 0
Gibraltar W
14 Apr
Gibraltar W
0 : 1
Croatia W
07 Mar
Croatia W
0 : 1
Kosovo W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Slovakia W -
Ukraine W -
Greece W -
England W -
Finland W -
Serbia W -
Belarus W -
Italy W -
Northern Ireland W -
Portugal W -
Croatia W -
Iceland W -
Albania W -
Wales W -
Romania W -
Norway W -
Israel W -
Switzerland W -
Kosovo W -
Austria W -
Czech Republic W -
Scotland W -
Lithuania W -
Sweden W -
Belgium W -
Poland W -
Kazakhstan W -
Ireland W -
Turkey W -
Slovenia W -
Hungary W -
Netherlands W -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -