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Iceland W vs England W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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World Cup Women Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík
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Match Events

21' Event
Russo A.
Assist: Hemp L.
46'
Sub
Williamson L. In: Wubben-Moy C.
Out: Williamson L.
61'
Sub
Boama L. In: Jessen S.
Out: Boama L.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Iceland W
15%
Draws
57%
England W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: England W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • England W have won more games recently than Iceland W.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on England W taking it.
  • England W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor England W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • England W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Iceland W Clean Sheet 10%
England W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iceland W England W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 19
Draws 6 3
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.18 2.64
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 World Cup Women
Iceland W vs England W
0:1
Mar 7, 2026 World Cup Women
England W vs Iceland W
2:0
May 17, 2007 Friendly International Women
England W vs Iceland W
4:0
Oct 30, 1994 Euro Women
England W vs Iceland W
2:1
Oct 9, 1994 Euro Women
Iceland W vs England W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iceland W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

England W Compare

Top Goalscorer Russo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iceland W 26 / 100
England W 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iceland W England W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick England W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iceland W scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

England W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 46% of 28 matches.

Iceland W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iceland W VS England W
1 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iceland W

(Home)
09 Jun
Iceland W
1 : 6
Spain W
05 Jun
Ukraine W
0 : 1
Iceland W
18 Apr
Iceland W
0 : 1
England W
14 Apr
Iceland W
1 : 0
Ukraine W
07 Mar
England W
2 : 0
Iceland W
Page 1 of 6

England W

(Away)
09 Jun
England W
3 : 0
Ukraine W
05 Jun
Spain W
4 : 0
England W
18 Apr
Iceland W
0 : 1
England W
14 Apr
England W
1 : 0
Spain W
07 Mar
England W
2 : 0
Iceland W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark W 6 4 2 0 12:5 14
2 Italy W 6 2 3 1 12:4 9
3 Sweden W 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 Serbia W 6 0 1 5 2:17 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Netherlands W 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 Ireland W 6 3 0 3 9:9 9
4 Poland W 6 0 1 5 6:15 1
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 6 5 0 1 21:3 15
2 England W 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
3 Iceland W 6 2 0 4 3:12 6
4 Ukraine W 6 0 0 6 2:19 0
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany W 6 5 1 0 18:1 16
2 Norway W 6 4 0 2 11:9 12
3 Austria W 6 1 1 4 3:9 4
4 Slovenia W 6 1 0 5 3:16 3
Promotion - World Cup Women (Main)
Promotion - World Cup Women (Promotion - Play Offs)