Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Idoya vs Burlades

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 15 2016/2017 game between Idoya and Burlades finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Burlades.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Idoya
20%
Draws
64%
Burlades
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Burlades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

16% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Burlades come out ahead of Idoya on wins alone.
  • Model gives Idoya a 16% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Burlades have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Idoya Clean Sheet 19%
Burlades Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Idoya Burlades
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.93 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.53 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Idoya
1:0
Oct 22, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Idoya vs Burlades
1:3
Feb 4, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Idoya vs Burlades
0:1
Sep 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Idoya
2:1
Feb 21, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Burlades vs Idoya
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Idoya 49 / 100
Burlades 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Idoya Burlades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Idoya Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Burlades let in goals in 88% of their last 32 matches.

Idoya's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Difficult form: Burlades registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Burlades
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Idoya

(Home)
13 May
CD Corellano
1 : 0
Idoya
05 May
Idoya
1 : 2
CD Ardoi
28 Apr
Huarte
3 : 2
Idoya
22 Apr
Idoya
1 : 1
Mutilvera
14 Apr
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Idoya
Page 1 of 6

Burlades

(Away)
10 May
Burlades
3 : 1
Cirbonero
03 May
Cortes
5 : 1
Burlades
26 Apr
Burlades
0 : 3
Valle Egues
16 Apr
Txantrea
3 : 0
Burlades
12 Apr
Burlades
0 : 0
AD San Juan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 38 25 7 6 73:35 82
2 Iruna 38 24 7 7 66:32 79
3 Cirbonero 38 23 8 7 65:30 77
4 Cortes 38 19 7 12 51:35 64
5 Oberena 38 19 6 13 54:45 63
6 AD San Juan 38 16 14 8 60:42 62
7 Burlades 38 15 14 9 51:50 59
8 Idoya 38 17 6 15 51:47 57
9 Huarte 38 13 13 12 39:36 52
10 Txantrea 38 14 10 14 63:56 52
11 Subiza 38 14 8 16 65:62 50
12 CD Cantolagua 38 14 7 17 44:47 49
13 Valle Egues 38 12 9 17 51:49 45
14 CD River Ega 38 14 3 21 52:77 45
15 Pamplona 38 11 11 16 47:52 44
16 CD Corellano 38 11 11 16 49:56 44
17 CD Ardoi 38 11 11 16 39:46 44
18 CD Lourdes 38 10 10 18 37:56 40
19 Erriberri 38 7 8 23 27:69 29
20 Valtierrano 38 2 8 28 30:92 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 1 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2016/2017 (Main)