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Ifira Blackbird vs PNG Hekari

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2023 VFF Freshwater Stadium, Port Vila
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Kepo A.
46'
Sub
Simon O. In: Naime R.
Out: Simon O.
50'
Sub
Tokio J. In: Thomas J.
Out: Tokio J.

AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2023 game between Ifira Blackbird and PNG Hekari finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PNG Hekari.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ifira Blackbird
30%
Draws
31%
PNG Hekari
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ifira Blackbird

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and PNG Hekari come out ahead of Ifira Blackbird on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ifira Blackbird's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2023 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ifira Blackbird Clean Sheet 18%
PNG Hekari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ifira Blackbird PNG Hekari
Matches Played 15 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.6 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2025 OFC Champions League
Ifira Blackbird vs PNG Hekari
1:1
May 15, 2023 OFC Champions League
Ifira Blackbird vs PNG Hekari
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ifira Blackbird Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

PNG Hekari Compare

Top Goalscorer Yasasa Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Naime R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ifira Blackbird 85 / 100
PNG Hekari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ifira Blackbird PNG Hekari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ifira Blackbird Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ifira Blackbird found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (15 games).

Defensive concern: PNG Hekari conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Ifira Blackbird went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ifira Blackbird VS PNG Hekari
0 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ifira Blackbird

(Home)
09 Apr
Auckland City
2 : 0
Ifira Blackbird
06 Apr
Central Coast
1 : 1
Ifira Blackbird
03 Apr
Ifira Blackbird
1 : 1
PNG Hekari
31 Mar
Ifira Blackbird
3 : 0
Tupapa
21 May
Ifira Blackbird
1 : 2
Magenta
Page 1 of 3

PNG Hekari

(Away)
13 May
Solomon Kings
3 : 0
PNG Hekari
10 May
Tahiti United
2 : 2
PNG Hekari
07 May
Vanuatu United
3 : 1
PNG Hekari
18 Apr
South Melbourne
1 : 2
PNG Hekari
15 Apr
Auckland FC 2
2 : 0
PNG Hekari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 3 3 0 0 9:2 9
2 Suva 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Solomon Warriors 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Lupe ole Soaga 3 0 0 3 1:12 0
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2023 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pirae 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
2 Ifira Blackbird 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 PNG Hekari 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
4 Tiga Sport 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2023 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)