Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Berga vs Vaxjo Norra

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Maikkula A.
28' Event
Magnusson I.
40' Event
Croby Edh J.

AI Match Summary

IFK Berga in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored IFK Berga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
IFK Berga
30%
Draws
28%
Vaxjo Norra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: IFK Berga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • IFK Berga have won more games recently than Vaxjo Norra.
  • Win probability leans IFK Berga's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
IFK Berga Clean Sheet 13%
Vaxjo Norra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Berga Vaxjo Norra
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 5 8
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Berga vs Vaxjo Norra
3:1
May 1, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Vaxjo Norra vs IFK Berga
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Berga Compare

Top Goalscorer Magnusson I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Maikkula A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Vaxjo Norra Compare

Top Goalscorer Croby Edh J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Berga 66 / 100
Vaxjo Norra 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Berga Vaxjo Norra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Berga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Berga's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Vaxjo Norra has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

IFK Berga went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Berga VS Vaxjo Norra
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Berga

(Home)
04 Oct
IFK Berga
3 : 0
Osterlen FF
27 Sept
Solvesborgs
3 : 2
IFK Berga
19 Sept
IFK Berga
4 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
12 Sept
Nosaby IF
1 : 3
IFK Berga
06 Sept
IFK Berga
1 : 3
Lilla Torg
Page 1 of 6

Vaxjo Norra

(Away)
03 Oct
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 2
IFK Karlshamn
25 Sept
Rappe GOIF
1 : 1
Vaxjo Norra
20 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 0
Nosaby IF
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
05 Sept
Torns
1 : 3
Vaxjo Norra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 24 19 3 2 63:21 60
2 IFK Trelleborg 24 15 5 4 51:23 50
3 Oskarshamn 24 14 3 7 60:30 45
4 IFK Berga 24 12 4 8 52:36 40
5 Nosaby IF 24 11 6 7 45:39 39
6 Linero IF 24 12 2 10 45:41 38
7 Vaxjo Norra 24 9 8 7 31:33 35
8 Osterlen FF 24 8 6 10 37:41 30
9 Lilla Torg 24 6 10 8 33:41 28
10 Solvesborgs 24 9 1 14 35:46 28
11 Staffanstorp United 24 6 8 10 37:41 26
12 Torns 24 7 0 17 31:66 21
13 Rappe GOIF 24 4 6 14 25:53 18
14 IFK Karlshamn 24 4 2 18 26:60 14
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)