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IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK Prediction & H2H Stats

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Gamla Ullevi, Göteborg
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IFK Goteborg host Vasteras SK in the Allsvenskan. Little to choose between these two on current form. IFK Goteborg have averaged 1.53 scored and 1.69 conceded recently, against Vasteras SK's 1.7 scored and 1.57 conceded. Head-to-head, IFK Goteborg have won 3 to Vasteras SK's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 4:5. The numbers (1.75 xG vs 1.19) point toward IFK Goteborg. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
IFK Goteborg
15%
Draws
34%
Vasteras SK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Goteborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Vasteras SK lately — more wins on the board than IFK Goteborg.
  • Model gives IFK Goteborg a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
IFK Goteborg Clean Sheet 20%
Vasteras SK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Goteborg Vasteras SK
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 8 6
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.53 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs IFK Goteborg
4:5
Sep 26, 2024 Allsvenskan
Vasteras SK vs IFK Goteborg
1:1
Jul 21, 2024 Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK
1:1
Feb 22, 2020 Svenska Cupen
IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK
2:0
Aug 9, 1997 Allsvenskan
IFK Goteborg vs Vasteras SK
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Goteborg 67 / 100
Vasteras SK 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Goteborg Vasteras SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Goteborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: IFK Goteborg remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

IFK Goteborg's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Vasteras SK conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Goteborg VS Vasteras SK
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Goteborg

(Home)
19 Sept
Brommapojkarna
0 : 1
IFK Goteborg
12 Sept
IFK Goteborg
2 : 1
Halmstad
07 Sept
Mjallby
1 : 4
IFK Goteborg
02 Sept
Olympic
0 : 5
IFK Goteborg
30 Aug
IFK Goteborg
1 : 0
Orgryte
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Vasteras SK

(Away)
19 Sept
Vasteras SK
2 : 0
Malmo FF
12 Sept
AIK
1 : 4
Vasteras SK
05 Sept
Vasteras SK
0 : 1
Sirius
29 Aug
Hacken
1 : 3
Vasteras SK
23 Aug
Vasteras SK
0 : 0
Kalmar
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 22 16 3 3 52:28 51
2 Hammarby 22 13 4 5 49:20 43
3 Djurgarden 22 13 2 7 47:21 41
4 Elfsborg 22 10 7 5 31:22 37
5 Hacken 22 9 9 4 39:30 36
6 Vasteras SK 22 10 5 7 34:35 35
7 Malmo FF 22 10 3 9 37:33 33
8 AIK 22 9 6 7 31:34 33
9 IFK Goteborg 22 9 5 8 31:41 32
10 GAIS 22 8 6 8 28:20 30
11 Brommapojkarna 22 7 6 9 30:36 27
12 Mjallby 22 5 7 10 27:38 22
13 Kalmar 22 5 4 13 21:36 19
14 Degerfors 22 5 4 13 19:34 19
15 Orgryte 22 3 6 13 25:49 15
16 Halmstad 22 3 5 14 16:40 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)