Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Djebou A.
43' Event
Saarinen J. B.
47' Event
Ingvarsson L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Södra Götaland game between IFK Karlshamn and IFK Trelleborg finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Trelleborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
IFK Karlshamn
15%
Draws
68%
IFK Trelleborg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Trelleborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • IFK Trelleborg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives IFK Trelleborg a 68% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
IFK Karlshamn Clean Sheet 10%
IFK Trelleborg Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Karlshamn IFK Trelleborg
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 17
Draws 2 6
Losses 20 6
Goals Scored 1.14 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 3.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg
1:5
Apr 25, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Trelleborg vs IFK Karlshamn
2:1
Aug 3, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Trelleborg vs IFK Karlshamn
3:0
Jun 14, 2025 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg
1:0
Jun 26, 2024 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Karlshamn vs IFK Trelleborg
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Karlshamn Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingvarsson L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

IFK Trelleborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Djebou A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saarinen J. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.07
Avg xA / game 1.88

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Karlshamn 10 / 100
IFK Trelleborg 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Karlshamn IFK Trelleborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Trelleborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

IFK Karlshamn scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

IFK Trelleborg let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: IFK Karlshamn stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Karlshamn VS IFK Trelleborg
1 Goals Scored 3.13
3.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Karlshamn

(Home)
03 Oct
Vaxjo Norra
0 : 2
IFK Karlshamn
26 Sept
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 4
Karlskrona
19 Sept
IFK Berga
4 : 1
IFK Karlshamn
13 Sept
IFK Karlshamn
1 : 2
Torns
05 Sept
Osterlen FF
6 : 0
IFK Karlshamn
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IFK Trelleborg

(Away)
26 Sept
Oskarshamn
3 : 4
IFK Trelleborg
20 Sept
IFK Trelleborg
4 : 1
Solvesborgs
12 Sept
Osterlen FF
1 : 4
IFK Trelleborg
06 Sept
IFK Trelleborg
1 : 2
Linero IF
28 Aug
Torns
1 : 2
IFK Trelleborg
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 23 18 3 2 61:20 57
2 IFK Trelleborg 23 14 5 4 49:23 47
3 Oskarshamn 24 14 3 7 60:30 45
4 Nosaby IF 24 11 6 7 45:39 39
5 Linero IF 23 12 2 9 44:39 38
6 IFK Berga 23 11 4 8 49:36 37
7 Vaxjo Norra 24 9 8 7 31:33 35
8 Osterlen FF 23 8 6 9 37:38 30
9 Lilla Torg 24 6 10 8 33:41 28
10 Solvesborgs 24 9 1 14 35:46 28
11 Staffanstorp United 24 6 8 10 37:41 26
12 Torns 24 7 0 17 31:66 21
13 Rappe GOIF 23 4 6 13 25:51 18
14 IFK Karlshamn 24 4 2 18 26:60 14
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)