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IFK Lulea vs Algarna-Harnosand - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Sochor J.
22' Event
Lampariello P.
35' Event
Fredriksson L.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland 2024 game between IFK Lulea and Algarna-Harnosand finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward IFK Lulea.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
IFK Lulea
15%
Draws
0%
Algarna-Harnosand
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Lulea

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • IFK Lulea carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives IFK Lulea a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norrland 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • IFK Lulea have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
IFK Lulea Clean Sheet 20%
Algarna-Harnosand Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Lulea Algarna-Harnosand
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 20 2
Draws 2 4
Losses 9 22
Goals Scored 2.23 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.39 3.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs IFK Lulea
1:3
Jun 8, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Algarna-Harnosand
2:1
Sep 2, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Algarna-Harnosand
6:0
May 6, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Algarna-Harnosand vs IFK Lulea
2:3
Aug 20, 2022 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Lulea vs Algarna-Harnosand
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Lulea Compare

Top Goalscorer Sochor J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fredriksson L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Algarna-Harnosand Compare

Top Goalscorer Lampariello P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Lulea 85 / 100
Algarna-Harnosand 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Lulea Algarna-Harnosand

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Lulea Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Lulea found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Algarna-Harnosand conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Algarna-Harnosand registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Lulea VS -
2.63 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Lulea

(Home)
03 Oct
IFK Lulea
4 : 2
Skelleftea
26 Sept
Kubikenborgs
0 : 1
IFK Lulea
19 Sept
IFK Lulea
3 : 1
Lucksta IF
16 Sept
Boden
1 : 0
IFK Lulea
12 Sept
Taftea IK
1 : 2
IFK Lulea
Page 1 of 7

Algarna-Harnosand

(Away)
19 Oct
Umea FF
4 : 0
Algarna-Harnosand
12 Oct
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Boden
06 Oct
Gottne IF
7 : 2
Algarna-Harnosand
28 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
1 : 3
IFK Lulea
21 Sept
Algarna-Harnosand
0 : 3
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Umea FF 26 21 3 2 86:19 66
2 Boden 26 21 3 2 75:24 66
3 Bergnasets AIK 26 16 2 8 53:46 50
4 Skelleftea 26 14 5 7 54:32 47
5 IFK Ostersund 26 13 5 8 50:35 44
6 Ytterhogdal 26 13 5 8 44:36 44
7 IFK Lulea 26 11 7 8 40:41 40
8 Gottne IF 26 10 6 10 44:37 36
9 Umea FC Akademi 26 8 3 15 40:62 27
10 Kiruna 26 7 5 14 23:49 26
11 Lucksta IF 26 7 4 15 43:62 25
12 Taftea IK 26 7 3 16 38:56 24
13 Froso IF 26 4 2 20 33:78 14
14 Algarna-Harnosand 26 2 3 21 34:80 9
15 Sandvik 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland 2024 (Relegation)