Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Malmo vs IFK Trelleborg

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IFK Malmo in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored IFK Malmo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

11%
IFK Malmo
20%
Draws
69%
IFK Trelleborg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: IFK Trelleborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • IFK Trelleborg have won more games recently than IFK Malmo.
  • Win probability leans IFK Trelleborg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors IFK Trelleborg here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
IFK Malmo Clean Sheet 18%
IFK Trelleborg Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Malmo IFK Trelleborg
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 18
Draws 8 6
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.3 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 5, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Malmo vs IFK Trelleborg
4:0
Apr 1, 2023 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Trelleborg vs IFK Malmo
2:0
Feb 4, 2023 Club Friendly
IFK Trelleborg vs IFK Malmo
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Malmo 10 / 100
IFK Trelleborg 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Malmo IFK Trelleborg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Trelleborg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.67 goals.

Attacking prowess: IFK Malmo scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

IFK Trelleborg has conceded goals in 75% of their last 32 outings.

Solid form: IFK Malmo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS IFK Trelleborg
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Malmo

(Home)
31 Jan
Olympic
0 : 0
IFK Malmo
22 Oct
IFK Malmo
2 : 3
Nosaby IF
15 Oct
Osterlen FF
3 : 2
IFK Malmo
07 Oct
IFK Berga
1 : 1
IFK Malmo
30 Sept
IFK Malmo
1 : 7
Rosengard
Page 1 of 6

IFK Trelleborg

(Away)
20 Sept
IFK Trelleborg
4 : 1
Solvesborgs
12 Sept
Osterlen FF
1 : 4
IFK Trelleborg
06 Sept
IFK Trelleborg
1 : 2
Linero IF
28 Aug
Torns
1 : 2
IFK Trelleborg
23 Aug
IFK Trelleborg
2 : 0
Lilla Torg
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rosengard 26 20 3 3 62:27 63
2 Hassleholms IF 26 19 5 2 60:17 62
3 IFK Hassleholm 26 14 5 7 58:43 47
4 Karlskrona 26 13 7 6 47:32 46
5 Rappe GOIF 26 14 3 9 65:38 45
6 Simrishamn 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
7 Kristianstad 26 9 7 10 33:31 34
8 Balkan 26 9 6 11 41:53 33
9 IFK Berga 26 9 4 13 38:47 31
10 IFK Trelleborg 26 6 9 11 44:48 27
11 Nosaby IF 26 7 5 14 34:52 26
12 Osterlen FF 26 7 4 15 37:54 25
13 VMA 26 5 2 19 26:80 17
14 IFK Malmo 26 3 7 16 37:64 16
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland 2023 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland 2023 (Relegation)