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IFK Ostersund vs Gottne IF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Harmon D.
72' Event
Afzali M.
74' Event
Wikman K.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between IFK Ostersund and Gottne IF finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gottne IF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
IFK Ostersund
15%
Draws
28%
Gottne IF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Ostersund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Gottne IF have managed 1.93 goals a game lately — IFK Ostersund are scoring more at 2.07.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on IFK Ostersund taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
IFK Ostersund Clean Sheet 16%
Gottne IF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Ostersund Gottne IF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 2.07 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.62 2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Gottne IF
4:0
Aug 12, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Gottne IF vs IFK Ostersund
4:0
May 30, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Gottne IF
1:3
May 14, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Gottne IF vs IFK Ostersund
3:3
Sep 13, 2025 Division 2 - Norrland
Gottne IF vs IFK Ostersund
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Ostersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Wikman K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Gottne IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Harmon D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Afzali M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Ostersund 84 / 100
Gottne IF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Ostersund Gottne IF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Ostersund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Ostersund scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Gottne IF conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

IFK Ostersund went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Ostersund VS Gottne IF
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Ostersund

(Home)
03 Oct
Lucksta IF
2 : 5
IFK Ostersund
26 Sept
IFK Ostersund
2 : 0
Boden
20 Sept
Taftea IK
2 : 1
IFK Ostersund
16 Sept
IFK Ostersund
4 : 0
Gottne IF
12 Sept
IFK Ostersund
5 : 0
Skelleftea
Page 1 of 6

Gottne IF

(Away)
03 Oct
Gottne IF
4 : 2
Boden
26 Sept
Skelleftea
0 : 3
Gottne IF
19 Sept
Gottne IF
1 : 4
Kubikenborgs
16 Sept
IFK Ostersund
4 : 0
Gottne IF
12 Sept
Lucksta IF
4 : 2
Gottne IF
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)