Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Ostersund vs Umea FF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Haggman I.
35' Event
Stegmayr C.
76' Event
Essebrink R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between IFK Ostersund and Umea FF finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umea FF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
IFK Ostersund
20%
Draws
42%
Umea FF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Umea FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • IFK Ostersund carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on IFK Ostersund taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
IFK Ostersund Clean Sheet 10%
Umea FF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Ostersund Umea FF
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 9 6
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 2.16 1.73
Goals Conceded 1.74 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 21, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FF vs IFK Ostersund
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Umea FF
2:3
Sep 15, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Ostersund vs Umea FF
0:2
Apr 13, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FF vs IFK Ostersund
2:1
Aug 20, 2023 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FF vs IFK Ostersund
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Ostersund Compare

Top Goalscorer Haggman I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Essebrink R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Umea FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Stegmayr C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goncalves Karlstedt J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Ostersund 56 / 100
Umea FF 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Ostersund Umea FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Ostersund Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: IFK Ostersund scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Umea FF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

IFK Ostersund has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

IFK Ostersund VS Umea FF
2 Goals Scored 2.13
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Ostersund

(Home)
12 Sept
IFK Ostersund
5 : 0
Skelleftea
05 Sept
Skelleftea
2 : 2
IFK Ostersund
30 Aug
IFK Ostersund
6 : 2
Taftea IK
22 Aug
Boden
2 : 2
IFK Ostersund
19 Aug
IFK Ostersund
1 : 5
Degerfors
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Umea FF

(Away)
12 Sept
Umea FF
0 : 3
Storfors AIK
05 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 2
Umea FF
29 Aug
Friska Viljor
1 : 4
Umea FF
21 Aug
Umea FF
4 : 0
IFK Umea
15 Aug
Umea FF
2 : 0
Umea FC Akademi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)