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IFK Skovde vs Kumla

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland Södermalms IP
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

IFK Skovde play Kumla in the Division 2 - Norra Götaland. It looks like a close match. Recently, IFK Skovde averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. Kumla averaged 0.75 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, IFK Skovde won 2, Kumla won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 22, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for IFK Skovde and 1.00 for Kumla. This points to a IFK Skovde double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
IFK Skovde
20%
Draws
38%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: IFK Skovde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • IFK Skovde has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Kumla.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for IFK Skovde.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 2 - Norra Götaland provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
IFK Skovde Clean Sheet 20%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Skovde Kumla
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 12 9
Draws 2 10
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 2.38 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IFK Skovde vs Kumla
2:1
Sep 28, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs IFK Skovde
2:0
May 25, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IFK Skovde vs Kumla
3:1
Nov 13, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs IFK Skovde
7:1
Oct 5, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IFK Skovde vs Kumla
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Skovde Compare

Top Goalscorer Korpas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Kumla Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Skovde 42 / 100
Kumla 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Skovde Kumla

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Skovde scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Kumla let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

IFK Skovde went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Kumla lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Skovde VS Kumla
2.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Husqvarna15123036:1039
2Skara14103129:1733
3IFK Skovde1491430:1928
4Grebbestad1481527:2025
5Ahlafors1465331:1923
6Stenungsunds IF1453624:2218
7Motala1453618:1718
8Kumla1445515:1617
9Herrestads AIF1445523:2617
10Vanersborgs FK1444619:2416
11Lidkoping1533916:3312
12Karlstad II1424816:2610
13Tord1408615:268
14Vanersborgs IF14221016:408