Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Skovde vs Kumla

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norra Götaland Södermalms IP, Skövde
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Damstrom R.
(Penalty)
55' Event
Own Goal
58' Event
Korpas M.

AI Match Summary

IFK Skovde in this Division 2 - Norra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored IFK Skovde.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
IFK Skovde
30%
Draws
19%
Kumla
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: IFK Skovde

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to IFK Skovde lately — more wins on the board than Kumla.
  • Model gives IFK Skovde a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 2 - Norra Götaland form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
IFK Skovde Clean Sheet 20%
Kumla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Skovde Kumla
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs IFK Skovde
0:0
May 22, 2026 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IFK Skovde vs Kumla
2:1
Sep 28, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs IFK Skovde
2:0
May 25, 2024 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
IFK Skovde vs Kumla
3:1
Nov 13, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Götaland
Kumla vs IFK Skovde
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Skovde Compare

Top Goalscorer Korpas M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Kumla Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Skovde 85 / 100
Kumla 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Skovde Kumla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Skovde Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

IFK Skovde has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

IFK Skovde's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kumla conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Skovde VS Kumla
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Skovde

(Home)
04 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
IFK Skovde
30 Aug
IFK Skovde
3 : 2
Motala
21 Aug
Vanersborgs FK
0 : 1
IFK Skovde
18 Aug
IFK Skovde
3 : 2
Falkenberg
15 Aug
IFK Skovde
2 : 2
Herrestads AIF
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Kumla

(Away)
04 Sept
Kumla
0 : 0
IFK Skovde
29 Aug
Ahlafors
7 : 1
Kumla
21 Aug
Kumla
2 : 6
Husqvarna
15 Aug
Stenungsunds IF
5 : 0
Kumla
08 Aug
Kumla
2 : 1
Vanersborgs IF
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Husqvarna 20 17 3 0 50:15 54
2 Skara 20 13 5 2 42:21 44
3 IFK Skovde 20 11 5 4 37:24 38
4 Ahlafors 20 9 7 4 45:24 34
5 Herrestads AIF 20 8 7 5 38:34 31
6 Grebbestad 20 9 3 8 34:30 30
7 Stenungsunds IF 20 7 6 7 35:28 27
8 Vanersborgs FK 20 7 4 9 27:34 25
9 Motala 20 5 7 8 28:29 22
10 Kumla 20 5 6 9 20:37 21
11 Lidkoping 20 4 6 10 21:38 18
12 Tord 20 2 9 9 23:35 15
13 Karlstad II 20 2 7 11 22:37 13
14 Vanersborgs IF 20 2 3 15 20:56 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Relegation)