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Stadium Background

IFK Stocksund vs FC Jarfalla

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra Danderyd IP, Stocksund
IFK Stocksund Logo

IFK Stocksund

Sat, Oct 3, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
FC Jarfalla Logo

FC Jarfalla

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

IFK Stocksund host FC Jarfalla in the Division 1 - Norra. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. IFK Stocksund have averaged 1.69 scored and 2.31 conceded recently, against FC Jarfalla's 1.43 scored and 2.18 conceded. Head-to-head, IFK Stocksund have won 4 to FC Jarfalla's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 8, 2026, ending 1:6. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.75, favoring IFK Stocksund. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
IFK Stocksund
15%
Draws
42%
FC Jarfalla
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Stocksund

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • FC Jarfalla have won more games recently than IFK Stocksund.
  • Model gives FC Jarfalla a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • IFK Stocksund have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
IFK Stocksund Clean Sheet 12%
FC Jarfalla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Stocksund FC Jarfalla
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 4 6
Draws 6 4
Losses 19 18
Goals Scored 1.69 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.31 2.18
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 8, 2026 Division 1 - Norra
FC Jarfalla vs IFK Stocksund
1:6
Jun 29, 2022 Svenska Cupen
FC Jarfalla vs IFK Stocksund
1:3
Jun 22, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
FC Jarfalla vs IFK Stocksund
1:6
Apr 9, 2022 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
IFK Stocksund vs FC Jarfalla
2:1
Sep 8, 2021 Division 2 - Norra Svealand
IFK Stocksund vs FC Jarfalla
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Stocksund 27 / 100
FC Jarfalla 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Stocksund FC Jarfalla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Jarfalla Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Jarfalla conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: IFK Stocksund scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

FC Jarfalla lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Stocksund VS FC Jarfalla
1.88 Goals Scored 1
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Stocksund

(Home)
25 Sept
Hammarby TFF
2 : 1
IFK Stocksund
20 Sept
IFK Stocksund
0 : 3
Umea FC
17 Sept
FC Stockholm Internazionale
5 : 2
IFK Stocksund
12 Sept
IFK Stocksund
2 : 1
Karlstad
04 Sept
Assyriska FF
2 : 1
IFK Stocksund
Page 1 of 6

FC Jarfalla

(Away)
20 Sept
Pitea
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
17 Sept
FC Jarfalla
5 : 0
Karlbergs
12 Sept
Gefle
3 : 1
FC Jarfalla
05 Sept
FC Jarfalla
0 : 3
FBK Karlstad
29 Aug
FC Jarfalla
0 : 2
Assyriska FF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Stockholm Internazionale 23 16 3 4 55:19 51
2 Hammarby TFF 24 13 6 5 50:23 45
3 AFC Eskilstuna 23 13 4 6 41:30 43
4 FC Arlanda 23 12 6 5 40:27 42
5 Karlstad 23 11 6 6 35:23 39
6 FBK Karlstad 23 11 6 6 36:32 39
7 Enkopings SK 23 12 3 8 37:38 39
8 Assyriska FF 23 9 5 9 42:40 32
9 Gefle 23 9 3 11 29:41 30
10 Umea FC 23 8 5 10 31:37 29
11 Karlbergs 23 8 4 11 29:38 28
12 Sollentuna 23 5 9 9 21:31 24
13 Vasalund 23 6 6 11 34:48 24
14 Pitea 23 4 6 13 27:44 18
15 FC Jarfalla 23 5 3 15 30:50 18
16 IFK Stocksund 24 3 5 16 44:60 14
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)