Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IFK Trelleborg vs Lilla Torg

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Ali W.
45' Event
Saarinen J. B.

AI Match Summary

IFK Trelleborg in this Division 2 - Södra Götaland matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored IFK Trelleborg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
IFK Trelleborg
15%
Draws
31%
Lilla Torg
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IFK Trelleborg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to IFK Trelleborg lately — more wins on the board than Lilla Torg.
  • Win probability leans IFK Trelleborg's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
IFK Trelleborg Clean Sheet 16%
Lilla Torg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Trelleborg Lilla Torg
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 6
Draws 6 12
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.91 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.22 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
IFK Trelleborg vs Lilla Torg
2:0
Apr 17, 2026 Division 2 - Södra Götaland
Lilla Torg vs IFK Trelleborg
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Trelleborg Compare

Top Goalscorer Ali W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Saarinen J. B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Lilla Torg Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Trelleborg 84 / 100
Lilla Torg 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Trelleborg Lilla Torg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IFK Trelleborg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IFK Trelleborg found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (32 games).

Lilla Torg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

IFK Trelleborg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IFK Trelleborg VS Lilla Torg
2.5 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Trelleborg

(Home)
12 Sept
Osterlen FF
1 : 4
IFK Trelleborg
06 Sept
IFK Trelleborg
1 : 2
Linero IF
28 Aug
Torns
1 : 2
IFK Trelleborg
23 Aug
IFK Trelleborg
2 : 0
Lilla Torg
18 Aug
Nosaby IF
0 : 3
IFK Trelleborg
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Lilla Torg

(Away)
12 Sept
Vaxjo Norra
1 : 1
Lilla Torg
06 Sept
IFK Berga
1 : 3
Lilla Torg
29 Aug
Lilla Torg
3 : 1
Rappe GOIF
23 Aug
IFK Trelleborg
2 : 0
Lilla Torg
15 Aug
Lilla Torg
1 : 4
Karlskrona
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Karlskrona 21 16 3 2 55:19 51
2 Oskarshamn 21 13 3 5 55:24 42
3 IFK Trelleborg 21 12 5 4 41:19 41
4 IFK Berga 21 10 4 7 43:32 34
5 Linero IF 21 11 1 9 37:36 34
6 Vaxjo Norra 21 9 6 6 30:30 33
7 Nosaby IF 21 9 5 7 39:37 32
8 Osterlen FF 21 8 4 9 32:33 28
9 Lilla Torg 21 6 8 7 26:33 26
10 Solvesborgs 21 8 1 12 31:36 25
11 Staffanstorp United 21 5 7 9 31:36 22
12 Torns 21 7 0 14 29:57 21
13 Rappe GOIF 21 3 5 13 22:49 14
14 IFK Karlshamn 21 3 2 16 22:52 11
Promotion - Division 2 - Norra Götaland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Södra Götaland (Relegation)