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IFK Umea vs Fransta IK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Bjornvik J.
28' Event
Bjornvik J.
70' Event
Johnson T.

AI Match Summary

Fransta IK in this Division 2 - Norrland matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fransta IK.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
IFK Umea
15%
Draws
76%
Fransta IK
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fransta IK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / Very High Confidence
  • Fransta IK have won more games recently than IFK Umea.
  • Model gives Fransta IK a 76% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 90%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
IFK Umea Clean Sheet 10%
Fransta IK Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IFK Umea Fransta IK
Matches Played 28 21
Wins 2 7
Draws 4 3
Losses 22 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.86 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Fransta IK vs IFK Umea
4:0
Aug 9, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
IFK Umea vs Fransta IK
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IFK Umea Compare

Top Goalscorer Bjornvik J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Fransta IK Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnson T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Burke J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IFK Umea 10 / 100
Fransta IK 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IFK Umea Fransta IK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fransta IK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fransta IK let in goals in 95% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

IFK Umea found the back of the net in 64% of recent matches (28 games).

IFK Umea has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

IFK Umea VS Fransta IK
1.13 Goals Scored 2
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

IFK Umea

(Home)
30 Sept
Umea FC Akademi
6 : 0
IFK Umea
26 Sept
IFK Umea
1 : 3
Umea FF
19 Sept
Storfors AIK
1 : 1
IFK Umea
12 Sept
Fransta IK
4 : 0
IFK Umea
05 Sept
IFK Umea
2 : 3
Friska Viljor
Page 1 of 6

Fransta IK

(Away)
04 Oct
Fransta IK
0 : 1
Storfors AIK
26 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 1
Umea FC Akademi
19 Sept
Friska Viljor
3 : 0
Fransta IK
12 Sept
Fransta IK
4 : 0
IFK Umea
05 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 2
Umea FF
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friska Viljor 9 6 1 2 22:14 31
2 Umea FC Akademi 9 5 1 3 27:15 27
3 Storfors AIK 9 5 1 3 15:11 24
4 Fransta IK 9 5 0 4 19:18 24
5 Umea FF 9 4 0 5 18:20 23
6 IFK Umea 9 0 1 8 8:31 5
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation)