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Igalo vs Iskra Danilovgrad

Montenegro Montenegro

Druga Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

42'
Ivanovic N.
69' Event
Jovanovic D.

AI Match Summary

Iskra Danilovgrad in this Druga Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iskra Danilovgrad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Igalo
30%
Draws
31%
Iskra Danilovgrad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Igalo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Iskra Danilovgrad have won more games recently than Igalo.
  • Model gives Igalo a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Druga Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Igalo Clean Sheet 13%
Iskra Danilovgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igalo Iskra Danilovgrad
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 5 15
Draws 9 9
Losses 18 9
Goals Scored 0.59 1.45
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Druga Liga
Igalo vs Iskra Danilovgrad
0:1
Mar 4, 2026 Druga Liga
Iskra Danilovgrad vs Igalo
0:0
Oct 18, 2025 Druga Liga
Igalo vs Iskra Danilovgrad
1:1
Aug 31, 2025 Druga Liga
Iskra Danilovgrad vs Igalo
0:0
Apr 23, 2025 Druga Liga
Iskra Danilovgrad vs Igalo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Igalo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Iskra Danilovgrad Compare

Top Goalscorer Jovanovic D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igalo 40 / 100
Iskra Danilovgrad 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igalo Iskra Danilovgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iskra Danilovgrad let in goals in 67% of their last 33 matches.

Igalo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Iskra Danilovgrad has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Igalo found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (32 games).

Scoring Trends

Igalo VS Iskra Danilovgrad
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Igalo

(Home)
03 Jun
Zeta
1 : 0
Igalo
29 May
Igalo
1 : 1
Zeta
24 May
Igalo
2 : 4
Lovcen
20 May
Berane
0 : 1
Igalo
16 May
Igalo
0 : 0
Rudar
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Iskra Danilovgrad

(Away)
20 Sept
Iskra Danilovgrad
0 : 2
Lovcen
16 Sept
Jedinstvo
2 : 0
Iskra Danilovgrad
12 Sept
Iskra Danilovgrad
1 : 1
FK Podgorica
06 Sept
Budva
1 : 2
Iskra Danilovgrad
30 Aug
Iskra Danilovgrad
0 : 1
Zeta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Otrant 36 23 5 8 81:31 74
2 Grbalj 36 21 4 11 63:42 67
3 Iskra Danilovgrad 36 17 13 6 51:34 64
4 Berane 36 12 14 10 45:36 50
5 Kom Podgorica 36 15 5 16 47:43 50
6 Lovcen 36 14 6 16 34:45 48
7 FK Podgorica 36 13 8 15 39:46 47
8 Rudar 36 12 9 15 47:48 45
9 Igalo 36 8 8 20 21:58 32
10 Internacional Podgorica 36 5 8 23 31:76 23
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva Crnogorska Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druga Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)