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Iganga United vs Calvary - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Wed, Nov 11, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iganga United host Calvary in the Big League. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Calvary have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Iganga United have conceded 1.21 and scored 0.9. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (0.88 - 1.00) back Calvary to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

6%
Iganga United
30%
Draws
64%
Calvary
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Calvary

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Calvary haven't matched Iganga United's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Calvary's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Big League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Iganga United Clean Sheet 20%
Calvary Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iganga United Calvary
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 7
Draws 5 10
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 0.9 0.48
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iganga United 16 / 100
Calvary 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iganga United Calvary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Calvary Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iganga United found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Calvary let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Iganga United went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iganga United VS Calvary
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Iganga United

(Home)
01 Nov
Buwambo United
1 : 1
Iganga United
26 Oct
Iganga United
0 : 1
Amus College FC
18 Oct
Young Elephant Academy
2 : 1
Iganga United
15 Oct
Paidha Black Angels
1 : 0
Iganga United
11 Oct
Iganga United
0 : 1
SC Volcanoes
Page 1 of 6

Calvary

(Away)
05 Nov
Calvary
1 : 1
SC Volcanoes
01 Nov
Calvary
1 : 0
Catda
18 Oct
Buwambo United
0 : 1
Calvary
11 Oct
Calvary
0 : 0
Amus College FC
08 Oct
Calvary
2 : 0
Kaaro Karungi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paidha Black Angels 6 5 0 1 8:5 15
2 Kiyinda Boys 6 4 1 1 9:3 13
3 Catda 6 4 0 2 8:2 12
4 SC Volcanoes 6 3 2 1 7:3 11
5 Young Elephant Academy 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
6 Calvary 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
7 Amus College FC 5 3 1 1 9:1 10
8 Rwenzori Lions 7 2 2 3 6:6 8
9 Pakwach Young Stars 5 1 1 3 4:6 4
10 Iganga United 7 1 1 5 3:7 4
11 Onduparaka 5 1 1 3 4:10 4
12 Kaaro Karungi 7 0 3 4 2:13 3
13 Buwambo United 5 0 2 3 2:10 2
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)