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Iganga United vs Kigezi HomeBoyz

Uganda Uganda

Big League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iganga United in this Big League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iganga United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Iganga United
6%
Draws
4%
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Iganga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kigezi HomeBoyz have won more games recently than Iganga United.
  • Iganga United are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Iganga United Clean Sheet 68%
Kigezi HomeBoyz Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iganga United Kigezi HomeBoyz
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 14
Draws 5 9
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.63 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Big League
Kigezi HomeBoyz vs Iganga United
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 Big League
Iganga United vs Kigezi HomeBoyz
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iganga United 95 / 100
Kigezi HomeBoyz 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iganga United Kigezi HomeBoyz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IGA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Iganga United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kigezi HomeBoyz's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Iganga United scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Iganga United VS Kigezi HomeBoyz
0.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Iganga United

(Home)
06 Jun
Mbale Heroes
2 : 6
Iganga United
24 May
Iganga United
3 : 0
Nebbi Central
17 May
Bunyaruguru
2 : 0
Iganga United
10 May
Iganga United
1 : 1
Bright Stars
03 May
Kigezi HomeBoyz
1 : 0
Iganga United
Page 1 of 6

Kigezi HomeBoyz

(Away)
06 Jun
Kigezi HomeBoyz
0 : 1
Catda
24 May
Kataka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
17 May
Kigezi HomeBoyz
2 : 0
Blacks Power
03 May
Kigezi HomeBoyz
1 : 0
Iganga United
26 Apr
Onduparaka
2 : 0
Kigezi HomeBoyz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Blacks Power30167735:1855
2Ntugasaze301411542:2253
3Kataka301631140:2651
4Kigezi HomeBoyz30149736:2251
5Paidha Black Angels30157833:2350
6Bunyaruguru301271131:2543
7Young Elephant301261244:4042
8Kiyinda Boys301261240:3140
9Iganga United301151430:3338
10Catda309101124:3237
11Kaaro Karungi301081226:3036
12Onduparaka30991224:3236
13Nebbi Central30991235:4234
14Bright Stars307111225:3132
15Wakiso Giants30871531:4831
16Mbale Heroes30651914:6717
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)