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Stadium Background

Igdir FK vs Aliaga

Turkey Turkey

Turkish Cup Iğdır Şehir Stadyumu, Iğdır
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Sub
Asan S. In: Karayel C.
Out: Asan S.
22'
Eysseric V.
30'
Yilmaz G.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Igdir FK
30%
Draws
39%
Aliaga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Aliaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Igdir FK haven't matched Aliaga's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Igdir FK's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Aliaga arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Igdir FK Clean Sheet 10%
Aliaga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igdir FK Aliaga
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 24, 2025 Turkish Cup
Igdir FK vs Aliaga
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Igdir FK Compare

Top Goalscorer Ozcan O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rotariu D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Aliaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Cetin V.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ozek A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igdir FK 40 / 100
Aliaga 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igdir FK Aliaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Aliaga has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Igdir FK's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Igdir FK stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Igdir FK VS Aliaga
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Igdir FK

(Home)
22 Aug
Igdir FK
0 : 1
Kayserispor
15 Aug
Bursaspor
1 : 0
Igdir FK
09 Aug
Igdir FK
2 : 0
F. Karagumruk
02 May
Igdir FK
3 : 3
Amedspor
26 Apr
Sivasspor
2 : 1
Igdir FK
Page 1 of 6

Aliaga

(Away)
04 May
Musspor
1 : 0
Aliaga
30 Apr
Aliaga
1 : 1
Musspor
25 Apr
Aliaga
0 : 5
Bursaspor
19 Apr
Aksaray Bld.
1 : 1
Aliaga
12 Apr
Aliaga
5 : 0
Menemenspor
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Galatasaray 4 4 0 0 8:3 12
2 Trabzonspor 4 3 0 1 13:4 9
3 Alanyaspor 4 2 1 1 8:4 7
4 Basaksehir 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
5 F. Karagumruk 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
6 Boluspor 4 0 2 2 1:6 2
7 Istanbulspor AS 4 0 2 2 2:9 2
8 Fethiyespor 4 0 1 3 1:7 1
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Samsunspor 4 4 0 0 12:3 12
2 Konyaspor 4 4 0 0 9:1 12
3 Genclerbirligi 4 3 1 0 9:5 10
4 Igdir FK 4 1 2 1 9:4 5
5 Eyupspor 4 1 1 2 5:6 4
6 Bodrumspor 4 0 1 3 3:7 1
7 Aliaga 4 0 1 3 5:16 1
8 Antalyaspor 4 0 0 4 0:10 0
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Besiktas 4 3 1 0 10:3 10
2 Fenerbahce 4 3 0 1 9:3 9
3 Erzurumspor FK 4 2 0 2 8:8 6
4 Gaziantep 4 2 0 2 8:10 6
5 Kocaelispor 4 1 1 2 4:4 4
6 Rizespor 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
7 Beyoglu Yeni Carsi 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
8 Keciorengucu 4 1 0 3 6:13 3
Promotion - Turkish Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams