Sport Picks
Igdir FK vs F. Karagumruk - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Turkey
1. Lig Iğdır Şehir Stadyumu, Iğdır 
Match Events
13'
13'
Crociata G.
Assist: Kouagba L.
38'
38'
Kurukalip C.
43'
43'
Sub
Pesic A. In: Ahmed T.
Out: Pesic A.
AI Match Summary
Igdir FK in this 1. Lig matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Igdir FK.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
30%
19%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Igdir FK
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Igdir FK lately — more wins on the board than F. Karagumruk.
- Model gives Igdir FK a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Igdir FK Clean Sheet 68%
F. Karagumruk Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Igdir FK | F. Karagumruk |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 9, 2026 1. Lig
Igdir FK vs F. Karagumruk
2:0
May 10, 2025 1. Lig
F. Karagumruk vs Igdir FK
2:1
Jan 11, 2025 1. Lig
Igdir FK vs F. Karagumruk
0:1
Jul 18, 2024 Club Friendly
Igdir FK vs F. Karagumruk
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Igdir FK Compare
Top Goalscorer Crociata G.
1 Goals Assists Leader Douglas Tanque
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72
F. Karagumruk Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Igdir FK 68 / 100
F. Karagumruk 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Igdir FK F. Karagumruk
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Igdir FK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Solid form: Igdir FK remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Igdir FK's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
F. Karagumruk has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Igdir FK VS F. Karagumruk
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Igdir FK
(Home) 18 Sept
Muglaspor
2 : 2 Igdir FK
13 Sept
Igdir FK
1 : 0 Mardin 1969
07 Sept
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 2 Igdir FK
03 Sept
Igdir FK
4 : 2 Manisa FK
30 Aug
Erokspor
0 : 1 Igdir FK
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Igdir FK
1 : 0 Mardin 1969
03 Sept
Igdir FK
4 : 2 Manisa FK
22 Aug
Igdir FK
0 : 1 Kayserispor
09 Aug
Igdir FK
2 : 0 F. Karagumruk
02 May
Igdir FK
3 : 3 Amedspor
Page 1 of 3
F. Karagumruk
(Away) 03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1 F. Karagumruk
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2 F. Karagumruk
13 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Manisa FK
06 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 3 F. Karagumruk
02 Sept
F. Karagumruk
1 : 1 Kayserispor
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Kasimpasa
2 : 1 F. Karagumruk
19 Sept
Erokspor
0 : 2 F. Karagumruk
06 Sept
Batman Petrolspor
4 : 3 F. Karagumruk
29 Aug
Istanbulspor AS
1 : 1 F. Karagumruk
09 Aug
Igdir FK
2 : 0 F. Karagumruk
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kayserispor | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 15:3 | 19 |
| 2 | Bursaspor | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | 19 |
| 3 | Keciorengucu | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 19:10 | 16 |
| 4 | Igdir FK | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 12:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Batman Petrolspor | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 6 | Sariyer | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Bandirmaspor | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 14:5 | 13 |
| 8 | Mardin 1969 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:5 | 12 |
| 9 | Antalyaspor | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14:13 | 12 |
| 10 | F. Karagumruk | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 12 |
| 11 | Sivasspor | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 11 |
| 12 | Muglaspor | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 8:7 | 11 |
| 13 | Pendikspor | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 11:17 | 10 |
| 14 | Manisa FK | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12:12 | 9 |
| 15 | Bodrumspor | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 7:8 | 8 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 17 | Erokspor | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 4:10 | 5 |
| 18 | Istanbulspor AS | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7:19 | 5 |
| 19 | Vanspor FK | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8:19 | 4 |
| 20 | Boluspor | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:20 | 1 |
Promotion - Super Lig 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs)
