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Stadium Background

Igea Virtus vs Calcio Avola - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Khamlich B.
34' Event
Tedesco E.
(Penalty)
60' Event
Longo S.

AI Match Summary

Igea Virtus in this Serie D - Group I matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Igea Virtus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Igea Virtus
15%
Draws
40%
Calcio Avola
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Igea Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Igea Virtus have won more games recently than Calcio Avola.
  • Win probability leans Igea Virtus's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 14%
Calcio Avola Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igea Virtus Calcio Avola
Matches Played 29 7
Wins 13 4
Draws 10 0
Losses 6 3
Goals Scored 1.52 1.29
Goals Conceded 1.21 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Calcio Avola
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Igea Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Khamlich B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Longo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Calcio Avola Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igea Virtus 39 / 100
Calcio Avola 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igea Virtus Calcio Avola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Igea Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Igea Virtus scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Igea Virtus has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Calcio Avola's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 7 matches.

Scoring Trends

Igea Virtus VS Calcio Avola
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Igea Virtus

(Home)
07 Oct
Igea Virtus
3 : 2
Reggina
04 Oct
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
Nissa
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

Calcio Avola

(Away)
07 Oct
Calcio Avola
0 : 4
ASD Modica Calcio
04 Oct
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
27 Sept
Castrumfavara
0 : 1
Calcio Avola
20 Sept
Calcio Avola
4 : 2
Nissa
16 Sept
Reggina
4 : 0
Calcio Avola
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)