Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Igea Virtus vs Castrovillari

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 game between Igea Virtus and Castrovillari finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Igea Virtus
30%
Draws
23%
Castrovillari
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Igea Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Igea Virtus come out ahead of Castrovillari on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Igea Virtus's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 68%
Castrovillari Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igea Virtus Castrovillari
Matches Played 38 28
Wins 16 2
Draws 12 12
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.42 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Igea Virtus
1:1
Nov 1, 2023 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Castrovillari
0:0
Apr 18, 2019 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Castrovillari
0:1
Dec 12, 2018 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Igea Virtus
1:0
Apr 23, 2017 Serie D - Group I
Castrovillari vs Igea Virtus
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igea Virtus 86 / 100
Castrovillari 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igea Virtus Castrovillari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Igea Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Castrovillari has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Igea Virtus found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (38 games).

Igea Virtus has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Castrovillari registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Igea Virtus VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Igea Virtus

(Home)
04 Oct
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
Nissa
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
12 Sept
Lamezia
2 : 2
Igea Virtus
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Castrovillari

(Away)
05 May
Castrovillari
0 : 2
Nuova Gioiese
28 Apr
Licata
3 : 1
Castrovillari
21 Apr
Castrovillari
1 : 1
Portici 1906
14 Apr
Siracusa
3 : 1
Castrovillari
07 Apr
Castrovillari
2 : 1
San Luca
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trapani 34 30 4 0 95:15 94
2 Siracusa 34 25 6 3 79:26 81
3 Vibonese 34 22 6 6 67:29 72
4 Reggina 34 19 8 7 54:25 65
5 AS Acireale 34 15 9 10 39:41 54
6 S. Agata 34 15 7 12 46:35 52
7 Real Casalnuovo 34 15 6 13 52:49 51
8 USD Ragusa 34 14 8 12 41:38 50
9 Canicatti 34 14 6 14 55:51 48
10 Igea Virtus 34 13 6 15 38:40 45
11 Licata 34 12 7 15 43:54 43
12 Akragas 34 12 6 16 42:53 42
13 Sancataldese 34 9 10 15 32:43 37
14 Portici 1906 34 8 8 18 32:55 32
15 San Luca 34 6 12 16 37:55 29
16 Locri 1909 34 7 7 20 34:68 28
17 Castrovillari 34 2 12 20 29:76 17
18 Nuova Gioiese 34 3 2 29 18:80 11
19 Lamezia Terme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2023/2024 (Play Out)