Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Igea Virtus vs USD Ragusa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Igea Virtus host USD Ragusa in the Serie D - Group I. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Igea Virtus have averaged 1.63 scored and 1.2 conceded recently, against USD Ragusa's 0.83 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor USD Ragusa slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 2, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.31, favoring Igea Virtus. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Igea Virtus
20%
Draws
7%
USD Ragusa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Igea Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Igea Virtus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Igea Virtus a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 18%
USD Ragusa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igea Virtus USD Ragusa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 10 12
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.63 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Igea Virtus
1:0
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs USD Ragusa
0:0
Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Igea Virtus
3:2
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs USD Ragusa
2:3
Feb 25, 2024 Serie D - Group I
USD Ragusa vs Igea Virtus
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igea Virtus 85 / 100
USD Ragusa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igea Virtus USD Ragusa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Igea Virtus Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Igea Virtus scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

USD Ragusa let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Igea Virtus remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Igea Virtus VS USD Ragusa
2 Goals Scored 0.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Igea Virtus

(Home)
07 Oct
Igea Virtus
3 : 2
Reggina
04 Oct
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
Nissa
27 Sept
Reggina
2 : 0
Igea Virtus
20 Sept
Trapani
1 : 3
Igea Virtus
16 Sept
Igea Virtus
4 : 3
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

USD Ragusa

(Away)
04 Oct
Calcio Avola
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
27 Sept
USD Ragusa
0 : 1
Trapani
20 Sept
Licata
1 : 0
USD Ragusa
16 Sept
USD Ragusa
1 : 1
Lamezia
13 Sept
Milazzo
3 : 1
USD Ragusa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Reggina 6 5 0 1 15:1 15
2 Vibonese 6 4 1 1 15:5 13
3 Sambiase 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
4 Calcio Avola 6 4 0 2 9:10 12
5 Igea Virtus 6 3 2 1 14:11 11
6 Licata 6 3 2 1 8:8 11
7 Digiesse PraiaTortora 6 2 3 1 8:4 9
8 Milazzo 6 3 0 3 5:8 9
9 Athletic Palermo 6 2 2 2 9:8 8
10 Nissa 6 2 2 2 9:9 8
11 ASD Modica Calcio 6 2 1 3 6:5 7
12 Lamezia 6 1 2 3 7:13 5
13 Siracusa 6 3 2 1 8:5 4
14 Castrumfavara 6 1 1 4 5:7 4
15 Gela 6 1 2 3 4:6 4
16 USD Ragusa 6 0 2 4 4:9 2
17 Trapani 6 2 0 4 3:10 1
18 Enna 6 0 1 5 0:15 1
Promotion - Serie D - Group I (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I (Play Out)