Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Igea Virtus vs Vibonese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group I 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Sasanelli L.
33' Event
Squillace T.
75' Event
Longo S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 game between Igea Virtus and Vibonese finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Igea Virtus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Igea Virtus
20%
Draws
57%
Vibonese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Vibonese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Igea Virtus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Vibonese a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Igea Virtus have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Igea Virtus Clean Sheet 22%
Vibonese Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igea Virtus Vibonese
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.27 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2026 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Vibonese
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Igea Virtus
0:1
Feb 16, 2025 Serie D - Group I
Vibonese vs Igea Virtus
1:2
Oct 20, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Vibonese
0:0
Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group I
Igea Virtus vs Vibonese
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Igea Virtus Compare

Top Goalscorer Squillace T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Longo S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Vibonese Compare

Top Goalscorer Sasanelli L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igea Virtus 24 / 100
Vibonese 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igea Virtus Vibonese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vibonese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Igea Virtus scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Vibonese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Igea Virtus has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Igea Virtus VS Vibonese
1.13 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Igea Virtus

(Home)
03 May
Lamezia
4 : 1
Igea Virtus
26 Apr
Igea Virtus
1 : 1
ACR Messina
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1
Vibonese
19 Apr
A.C. Savoia
3 : 0
Igea Virtus
02 Apr
USD Ragusa
1 : 0
Igea Virtus
Page 1 of 6

Vibonese

(Away)
03 Aug
Monopoli
0 : 1
Vibonese
10 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
03 May
Vibonese
1 : 0
AS Acireale
26 Apr
Gela
1 : 1
Vibonese
22 Apr
Igea Virtus
2 : 1
Vibonese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A.C. Savoia 34 20 9 5 63:29 69
2 Nissa 34 19 10 5 51:27 67
3 Reggina 34 20 6 8 44:23 66
4 Athletic Palermo 34 18 6 10 59:47 60
5 Gelbison 34 17 9 8 44:32 60
6 Sambiase 34 14 11 9 38:30 53
7 Igea Virtus 34 15 13 6 49:36 53
8 Milazzo 34 12 8 14 31:36 44
9 Gela 34 13 5 16 41:44 43
10 Lamezia 34 11 9 14 43:35 42
11 Castrumfavara 34 10 8 16 38:47 38
12 Enna 34 8 12 14 50:53 36
13 Vibonese 34 8 11 15 32:47 35
14 USD Ragusa 34 7 13 14 23:34 34
15 ACR Messina 34 11 13 10 28:33 32
16 AS Acireale 34 7 12 15 37:50 32
17 Sancataldese 34 7 8 19 31:49 29
18 Paterno 34 4 7 23 22:72 19
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2025/2026 (Play Out)