Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Tapa in this Estonian Cup 2011/2012 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Igiliikur
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Igiliikur have won more games recently than Tapa.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Igiliikur taking it.
- Igiliikur have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Tapa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Igiliikur Clean Sheet 19%
Tapa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Igiliikur | Tapa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 21 | 5 |
| Wins | 8 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 13 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.71 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 3 | 5.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 3.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 20, 2011 Estonian Cup
Igiliikur vs Tapa
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Igiliikur 85 / 100
Tapa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Igiliikur Tapa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Igiliikur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Tapa conceded in 100% of 5 recent games.
Igiliikur's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 21 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Tapa's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Igiliikur VS Tapa
1.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 4.25
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Igiliikur
(Home) 29 Jul
Tallinna Pocarr
3 : 0 Igiliikur
07 Aug
Igiliikur
1 : 7 Tulevik
19 Jun
Viimsi JK 2
1 : 2 Igiliikur
19 Jul
Igiliikur
1 : 2 Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
16 Jun
FC Ararat
4 : 5 Igiliikur
Page 1 of 5
07 Aug
Igiliikur
1 : 7 Tulevik
19 Jul
Igiliikur
1 : 2 Kohtla-Jarve JK Jarve II
16 Jun
Igiliikur
0 : 6 Tartu JK Welco
22 Oct
Igiliikur
0 : 9 Flora Tallinn U21
08 Jun
Igiliikur
5 : 1 Virtsu
Page 1 of 2
Tapa
(Away) 20 Jul
Tapa
0 : 4 Flora U19
06 Jun
Tapa
1 : 4 Imavere Forss
03 Aug
Tapa
0 : 8 Tallinna Kalev
20 Jul
Igiliikur
1 : 2 Tapa
22 Jul
Rakvere
9 : 1 Tapa
20 Jul
Igiliikur
1 : 2 Tapa
22 Jul
Rakvere
9 : 1 Tapa
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Paide Linnameeskond -
TBD -
TBD -
Tabasalu II -
SK Taaksi -
TBD -
TBD -
Kivioli Irbis -
Voru -
TBD -
TBD -
Tallina Mercury -
Tammeka Tartu II 5
Valga Warrior 1
TBD -
Sillamae Kalev -
Saaremaa -
TBD -
TBD -
Saku Sporting -
Tallinn Piraaja -
TBD -
TBD -
Leisi -
Soccernet -
TBD -
Warrior Valga II 2
Akhtamar 4
Quattromed -
TBD -
Reaal 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 9
Tammeka Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Pokkeriprod -
Olympic Tallinn 6
FC KIIU 1
Otepaa II 0
Raasiku Joker 5
Tartu JK Welco 1
Tallinna Kalev III 0
TBD -
Loo JK -
Ambla -
TBD -
Lasnamae 0
Kuressaare 6
Maardu Linnameeskond 3
Kose 0
TBD -
Rapla -
Jogeva 2
Saue JK Laagri 1
JK Luunja 0
Elva 1
Navi Vutiselts -
TBD -
TBD -
JK Visadus -
Legion -
TBD -
Tartu SK 10 2
Narva 4
Levadia 8
Kohtla-Jarve Lootus 0
Kalju III 0
Kalju 14
Kristiine -
TBD -
Haiba 0
FCI Tallinn 8
Otepaa 9
SK EPMU Tartu 1
TBD -
Metropool Parnu -
Tapa 2
Igiliikur 1
SaareMaa JK aaMeraaS 2
Tallinna Kalev 10
Paide Linnameeskond U21 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sorve -
Ulikool Tallinn -
TBD -
TBD -
Ganvix Turi -
FC Ararat 3
Tulevik 1
TBD -
Castovanni Eagles -
Premium Tartu -
TBD -
TBD -
Flora Tallinn U21 -
Viljandi 7
Kaitseliit 2
Tabivere 1
Rada Kuusalu 2
Vastseliina Tannem -
TBD -
Toompea 1994 1
Johvi Phoenix 12
Keila JK 3
Nomme Utd 1
Twister Tallinn 1
Tabasalu 9
Eston Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
Rakvere -
FC Lootos Polva -
TBD -
Tallinna Kalev II 1
Jarva-Jaani 4
Kaitseliit II -
TBD -
TBD -
Kalju II -
Puuma -
TBD -
TBD -
Kardla -
Lelle 2
Viimsi JK 1
JK Jalgpallihaigla 0
Flora 17
1/32-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 8
Tabasalu II 0
SK Taaksi 1
Kivioli Irbis 8
Voru 5
Tallina Mercury 0
Tammeka Tartu II 0
Sillamae Kalev 6
Saaremaa -
Saku Sporting -
Tallinn Piraaja 2
Leisi 3
Soccernet 4
Akhtamar 3
Quattromed 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 5
Tammeka Tartu 24
Pokkeriprod 0
Olympic Tallinn 0
Raasiku Joker 3
Tartu JK Welco 5
Loo JK 2
Ambla 0
Kuressaare 7
Maardu Linnameeskond 4
Rapla 0
Jogeva 2
Elva 2
Navi Vutiselts 2
JK Visadus 0
Legion 0
Narva 7
Levadia 2
Kalju 1
Kristiine 0
FCI Tallinn 9
Otepaa 3
Metropool Parnu 0
Tapa 0
Tallinna Kalev 8
Paide Linnameeskond U21 1
Sorve 0
Ulikool Tallinn 2
Ganvix Turi 3
FC Ararat 3
Castovanni Eagles 2
Premium Tartu 0
Flora Tallinn U21 3
Viljandi 3
Rada Kuusalu 0
Vastseliina Tannem 1
Johvi Phoenix 9
Keila JK -
Tabasalu -
Eston Villa 0
Rakvere 5
FC Lootos Polva 6
Jarva-Jaani 1
Kaitseliit II 1
Kalju II 10
Puuma 3
Kardla 1
Lelle 0
Flora 13
1/16-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 3
Kivioli Irbis 1
Voru 0
Sillamae Kalev 8
Saaremaa 1
Leisi 0
Soccernet 0
Parnu Linnameeskond 13
Tammeka Tartu 4
Raasiku Joker 1
Tartu JK Welco 1
Kuressaare 2
Maardu Linnameeskond 2
Elva 1
Navi Vutiselts 0
Narva 9
Levadia 5
FCI Tallinn 0
Otepaa 0
Tallinna Kalev 7
Paide Linnameeskond U21 3
Ganvix Turi 2
FC Ararat 1
Flora Tallinn U21 2
Viljandi 3
Johvi Phoenix 0
Keila JK 2
Rakvere 5
FC Lootos Polva 5
Kalju II 4
Puuma 1
Flora 4
1/8-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Sillamae Kalev 3
Saaremaa 1
Parnu Linnameeskond 4
Tammeka Tartu 7
Kuressaare 0
Maardu Linnameeskond 0
Narva 6
Levadia 4
Tallinna Kalev 1
Paide Linnameeskond U21 0
Flora Tallinn U21 1
Viljandi 2
Rakvere 1
FC Lootos Polva 0
Flora 9
Quarter-finals
Paide Linnameeskond 4
Parnu Linnameeskond 0
Tammeka Tartu 1
Narva 2
Levadia 2
Flora Tallinn U21 0
Viljandi 0
Flora 3
Semi-finals
Levadia 1
Flora 0
Paide Linnameeskond 0
Narva 1
Final
Levadia 3
Narva 0
