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Igilik vs Zhenis - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First Division 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Kambarov M.
57' Event
Ordabek R.

AI Match Summary

Igilik in this First Division 2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Igilik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Igilik
15%
Draws
42%
Zhenis
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Igilik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Zhenis lately — more wins on the board than Igilik.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Zhenis taking it.
  • Regular First Division 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Igilik Clean Sheet 20%
Zhenis Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igilik Zhenis
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 7 13
Draws 3 7
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2022 First League
Zhenis vs Igilik
4:0
Jun 19, 2022 First League
Igilik vs Zhenis
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Igilik Compare

Top Goalscorer Kambarov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ordabek R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Zhenis Compare

Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igilik 24 / 100
Zhenis 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igilik Zhenis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zhenis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Zhenis conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Zhenis lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Igilik found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Zhenis
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Igilik

(Home)
05 Nov
Igilik
4 : 5
Turkistan
28 Oct
Igilik
0 : 7
Taraz-Karatau 2
21 Oct
Akademiya Ontustik
1 : 4
Igilik
16 Oct
Igilik
2 : 1
FK Kyran
09 Oct
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
1 : 0
Igilik
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Zhenis

(Away)
18 Sept
Okzhetpes
3 : 1
Zhenis
12 Sept
Zhenis
3 : 1
Kyzylzhar
09 Sept
Kairat Almaty
3 : 0
Zhenis
05 Sept
Aktobe
1 : 0
Zhenis
29 Aug
Zhenis
1 : 0
Altai
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Okzhetpes 26 19 4 3 80:22 61
2 Kaisar Kyzylorda 26 17 5 4 60:26 56
3 Zhetysu Taldykorgan 26 17 4 5 57:23 52
4 Kairat Almaty 2 26 15 6 5 61:31 51
5 FK Kyran 26 12 5 9 57:43 41
6 FC Ekibastuz 26 9 10 7 45:47 37
7 Taraz-Karatau 2 26 10 6 10 45:47 36
8 Zhenis 26 10 5 11 40:36 35
9 Turkistan 26 10 5 11 48:54 35
10 Akademiya Ontustik 26 8 6 12 42:60 30
11 FC Astana 2 26 7 6 13 50:62 27
12 Igilik 26 6 3 17 27:70 21
13 Shakhtar Bulat 26 4 5 17 36:72 17
14 Baykonur Kyzylorda 26 1 4 21 16:71 7
Promotion - Premier League 2023 (Main)