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Igualada vs Santfeliuenc - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 game between Igualada and Santfeliuenc finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santfeliuenc.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Igualada
15%
Draws
21%
Santfeliuenc
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Igualada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santfeliuenc come out ahead of Igualada on wins alone.
  • Model gives Igualada a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Santfeliuenc have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Igualada Clean Sheet 68%
Santfeliuenc Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igualada Santfeliuenc
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 16
Goals Scored 0.83 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Igualada vs Santfeliuenc
1:2
Dec 5, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Santfeliuenc vs Igualada
2:0
Jan 18, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Igualada vs Santfeliuenc
1:0
Aug 31, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Santfeliuenc vs Igualada
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igualada 95 / 100
Santfeliuenc 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igualada Santfeliuenc

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Igualada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santfeliuenc's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Santfeliuenc has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Igualada found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Igualada VS Santfeliuenc
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Igualada

(Home)
22 Aug
CE Manresa
1 : 0
Igualada
13 Jun
UE Figueres
2 : 1
Igualada
06 Jun
Igualada
3 : 1
Horta
02 Jun
Igualada
0 : 1
UE Figueres
30 May
Banyoles
3 : 0
Igualada
Page 1 of 6

Santfeliuenc

(Away)
27 Aug
L Hospitalet
4 : 1
Santfeliuenc
28 Aug
Santfeliuenc
0 : 3
L Hospitalet
13 Jun
Banyoles
1 : 1
Santfeliuenc
06 Jun
Santfeliuenc
0 : 3
Peralada
30 May
UE Sants
2 : 0
Santfeliuenc
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Europa 20 13 5 2 35:17 44
2 FC Vilafranca 20 11 7 2 33:16 40
3 Terrassa 20 10 5 5 23:11 35
4 San Cristobal CP 20 8 7 5 17:13 31
5 CE Manresa 20 7 8 5 21:16 29
6 UE Castelldefels 20 7 7 6 19:20 28
7 Pobla Mafumet 20 6 8 6 27:25 26
8 Santfeliuenc 20 6 4 10 16:24 22
9 Valls 20 4 5 11 12:24 17
10 Igualada 20 3 4 13 14:32 13
11 Montanesa 20 2 6 12 10:29 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerdanyola del Valles 20 11 7 2 31:15 40
2 Girona B 20 10 7 3 29:12 37
3 Granollers 20 9 6 5 32:22 33
4 Sant Andreu 20 9 4 7 24:21 31
5 Vilassar de Mar 20 8 6 6 21:21 30
6 FE Grama 20 8 3 9 22:28 27
7 Peralada 20 6 7 7 16:18 25
8 UE Sants 20 7 3 10 17:25 24
9 UE Figueres 20 5 6 9 19:32 21
10 Horta 20 4 6 10 20:26 18
11 Banyoles 20 4 3 13 13:24 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)