Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Igualada vs UE Castelldefels

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UE Castelldefels in this Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UE Castelldefels.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Igualada
15%
Draws
42%
UE Castelldefels
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Igualada

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • UE Castelldefels have won more games recently than Igualada.
  • Model gives Igualada a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and UE Castelldefels have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Igualada Clean Sheet 68%
UE Castelldefels Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Igualada UE Castelldefels
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.83 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Igualada vs UE Castelldefels
1:2
Nov 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Igualada
3:0
Feb 1, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Igualada vs UE Castelldefels
0:3
Sep 11, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Igualada
2:1
Feb 24, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
UE Castelldefels vs Igualada
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Igualada 50 / 100
UE Castelldefels 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Igualada UE Castelldefels

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Igualada Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

UE Castelldefels has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

UE Castelldefels's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Igualada scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS UE Castelldefels
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Igualada

(Home)
22 Aug
CE Manresa
1 : 0
Igualada
13 Jun
UE Figueres
2 : 1
Igualada
06 Jun
Igualada
3 : 1
Horta
02 Jun
Igualada
0 : 1
UE Figueres
30 May
Banyoles
3 : 0
Igualada
Page 1 of 6

UE Castelldefels

(Away)
11 May
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FE Grama
05 May
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 0
UE Castelldefels
01 May
UE Castelldefels
2 : 1
Peralada
28 Apr
Montanesa
1 : 0
UE Castelldefels
21 Apr
UE Castelldefels
1 : 2
FC Vilafranca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CE Europa 20 13 5 2 35:17 44
2 FC Vilafranca 20 11 7 2 33:16 40
3 Terrassa 20 10 5 5 23:11 35
4 San Cristobal CP 20 8 7 5 17:13 31
5 CE Manresa 20 7 8 5 21:16 29
6 UE Castelldefels 20 7 7 6 19:20 28
7 Pobla Mafumet 20 6 8 6 27:25 26
8 Santfeliuenc 20 6 4 10 16:24 22
9 Valls 20 4 5 11 12:24 17
10 Igualada 20 3 4 13 14:32 13
11 Montanesa 20 2 6 12 10:29 12
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cerdanyola del Valles 20 11 7 2 31:15 40
2 Girona B 20 10 7 3 29:12 37
3 Granollers 20 9 6 5 32:22 33
4 Sant Andreu 20 9 4 7 24:21 31
5 Vilassar de Mar 20 8 6 6 21:21 30
6 FE Grama 20 8 3 9 22:28 27
7 Peralada 20 6 7 7 16:18 25
8 UE Sants 20 7 3 10 17:25 24
9 UE Figueres 20 5 6 9 19:32 21
10 Horta 20 4 6 10 20:26 18
11 Banyoles 20 4 3 13 13:24 15
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 5 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)