Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iguatu vs Maguary

Brazil Brazil

Serie D Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello, Iguatu
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Otacilio Marcos
75' Event
Matheus Lima
83' Event
Henrique Paraiba

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Iguatu
20%
Draws
22%
Maguary
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iguatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Maguary haven't matched Iguatu's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Iguatu's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Iguatu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Iguatu, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Iguatu Clean Sheet 68%
Maguary Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iguatu Maguary
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 13 10
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.27 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.97 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Serie D
Iguatu vs Maguary
2:1
Jul 4, 2026 Serie D
Maguary vs Iguatu
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iguatu Compare

Top Goalscorer Otacilio Marcos
1 Goals
Assists Leader Matheus Lima
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Maguary Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique Paraiba
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iguatu 50 / 100
Maguary 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iguatu Maguary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iguatu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Iguatu scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Maguary's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Iguatu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iguatu VS Maguary
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Iguatu

(Home)
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1
Iguatu
12 Jul
Iguatu
2 : 1
Maguary
04 Jul
Maguary
2 : 3
Iguatu
27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1
Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 6

Maguary

(Away)
12 Jul
Iguatu
2 : 1
Maguary
04 Jul
Maguary
2 : 3
Iguatu
27 Jun
Piaui
1 : 0
Maguary
21 Jun
Maguary
2 : 0
Piaui
14 Jun
ABC
1 : 0
Maguary
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 0
Uberlandia 2