Sport Picks
Match Events
24'
24'
Matheus Lima
(Penalty)
89'
89'
Warian Ameixa
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
35%
25%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iguatu
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
40%
/ Low Confidence
- Iguatu have managed 1.27 goals a game lately — Tuna Luso are scoring more at 1.33.
- Model gives Iguatu a 40% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Iguatu Clean Sheet 68%
Tuna Luso Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Iguatu | Tuna Luso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 13 | 5 |
| Losses | 5 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.27 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 27, 2026 Serie D
Iguatu vs Tuna Luso
1:1
Jun 21, 2026 Serie D
Tuna Luso vs Iguatu
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Iguatu Compare
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Tuna Luso Compare
Top Goalscorer Warian Ameixa
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Iguatu 77 / 100
Tuna Luso 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Iguatu Tuna Luso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Iguatu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Iguatu scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Tuna Luso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.
Iguatu has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Iguatu VS Tuna Luso
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Iguatu
(Home) 25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
18 Jul
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
1 : 1 Iguatu
12 Jul
Iguatu
2 : 1 Maguary
04 Jul
Maguary
2 : 3 Iguatu
27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1 Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Iguatu
1 : 2 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
12 Jul
Iguatu
2 : 1 Maguary
27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1 Tuna Luso
30 May
Iguatu
2 : 2 Parnahyba
10 May
Iguatu
3 : 1 Moto Club
Page 1 of 3
Tuna Luso
(Away) 27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1 Tuna Luso
21 Jun
Tuna Luso
1 : 2 Iguatu
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0 Tuna Luso
31 May
Tuna Luso
1 : 0 Trem
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3 Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 6
27 Jun
Iguatu
1 : 1 Tuna Luso
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0 Tuna Luso
24 May
Oratorio
3 : 3 Tuna Luso
02 May
Tocantinopolis
1 : 1 Tuna Luso
25 Apr
Aguia De Maraba
2 : 0 Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3
