Sport Picks

Brazil

Serie D Estadio Antonio Moreno de Mello, Iguatu

Iguatu

1 - 1

Tuna Luso

Our Tip

Match Events

24'

Matheus Lima

(Penalty)

89'

Warian Ameixa

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Iguatu

17%

Draws

13%

Tuna Luso

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Iguatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Tuna Luso haven't matched Iguatu's recent run of results.
Model gives Iguatu a 70% chance of winning this.
Iguatu have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Iguatu Clean Sheet 68%

Tuna Luso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Iguatu	Tuna Luso
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	13	12
Draws	13	5
Losses	4	13
Goals Scored	1.38	1.25
Goals Conceded	0.75	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.75	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Serie D

Iguatu vs Tuna Luso

1:1

Jun 21, 2026 Serie D

Tuna Luso vs Iguatu

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iguatu Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Tuna Luso Compare

Top Goalscorer Warian Ameixa

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iguatu 77 / 100

Tuna Luso 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Iguatu Tuna Luso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IGU Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Iguatu scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Iguatu stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Tuna Luso has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Iguatu VS Tuna Luso

1.38 Goals Scored 1.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 2

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 63%

25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Iguatu

(Home)

18 Jul

Nacional-AM (Manaus)

1 : 1

Iguatu

12 Jul

Iguatu

2 : 1

Maguary

04 Jul

Maguary

2 : 3

Iguatu

27 Jun

Iguatu

1 : 1

Tuna Luso

21 Jun

Tuna Luso

1 : 2

Iguatu

Page 1 of 6

Tuna Luso

(Away)

27 Jun

Iguatu

1 : 1

Tuna Luso

21 Jun

Tuna Luso

1 : 2

Iguatu

06 Jun

Imperatriz

4 : 0

Tuna Luso

31 May

Tuna Luso

1 : 0

Trem

24 May

Oratorio

3 : 3

Tuna Luso

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/32-finals

Independencia Futebol Clube1

Manauara3

Brasiliense0

Goiatuba EC1

Imperatriz2

Maracana1

Central SC1

Ferroviario3

Fluminense-PI0

America RN4

Sampaio Correa2

Trem3

Sao Raimundo RR2

Porto Velho3

Mixto1

Gama3

Monte Roraima3

Guapore4

Ceilandia2

Luverdense3

Parnahyba2

Aguia De Maraba3

AE Altos1

ABC2

Araguaina0

Nacional-AM (Manaus)1

Aparecidense1

Capital5

Tuna Luso2

Iguatu3

Maguary2

Piaui1

Portuguesa RJ4

Noroeste2

EC Sao Jose (PA)3

Santa Catarina2

Jacuipense1

Treze PB3

CRAC1

Tombense0

Serra Branca3

Juazeirense0

Rio Branco ES2

Uberlandia4

Sampaio Correa FE1

Portuguesa2

FC Cascavel3

Marcilio Dias4

Sao Luiz3

Blumenau2

Velo Clube2

Agua Santa1

Lagarto1

CSA3

Vitoria ES1

Betim FC2

America RJ1

Piracicaba3

Sao Joseense1

Cianorte2

ASA2

Sergipe1

Ivinhema4

Democrata GV2

1/16-finals

Manauara2

Goiatuba EC3

Imperatriz1

Ferroviario4

America RN6

Trem2

Porto Velho2

Gama3

Guapore0

Luverdense1

Aguia De Maraba2

ABC4

Nacional-AM (Manaus)2

Capital1

Iguatu5

Maguary3

Portuguesa RJ0

EC Sao Jose (PA)1

Treze PB3

CRAC2

Serra Branca2

Uberlandia3

Portuguesa3

Marcilio Dias1

Sao Luiz4

Velo Clube3

CSA4

Betim FC1

Piracicaba0

Cianorte4

ASA6

Ivinhema1

1/8-finals

Goiatuba EC3

Ferroviario0

America RN1

Gama0

Luverdense0

ABC0

Nacional-AM (Manaus)1

Iguatu1

EC Sao Jose (PA)2

Treze PB1

Uberlandia2

Portuguesa0

Sao Luiz0

CSA0

Cianorte0

ASA1

Quarter-finals

TBD-

Semi-finals

TBD-

Final

TBD-