Sport Picks

Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2024

Hafnir

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

IH Hafnarfjordur play Hafnir in the Icelandic Cup 2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, IH Hafnarfjordur averaged 2 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Hafnir averaged 2.63 goals scored and 2.88 conceded. In past meetings, IH Hafnarfjordur won 1, Hafnir won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 25, 2024 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.63 for IH Hafnarfjordur and 2.75 for Hafnir. This points to a IH Hafnarfjordur double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%

IH Hafnarfjordur

15%

Draws

31%

Hafnir

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IH Hafnarfjordur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

IH Hafnarfjordur picked up more points recently compared to Hafnir.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.63 vs 2.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 79%

Over 3.5 Goals 47%

Over 4.5 Goals 24%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

IH Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 10%

Hafnir Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	IH Hafnarfjordur	Hafnir
Matches Played	30	8
Wins	14	3
Draws	0	0
Losses	16	5
Goals Scored	2	2.63
Goals Conceded	2.5	2.88
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.88	2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2024 Icelandic Cup

IH Hafnarfjordur vs Hafnir

Possession: 44% - 60% Cards: 0 - 3

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

IH Hafnarfjordur Compare

Top Goalscorer Jonasson B.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Gretarsson D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Hafnir Compare

Top Goalscorer Gudlaugsson A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Halldorsson B. A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.39

Avg xA / game 1.46

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IH Hafnarfjordur 51 / 100

Hafnir 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

IH Hafnarfjordur Hafnir

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IH Hafnarfjordur Win (1)

Secondary Pick IH Hafnarfjordur & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.2%

2.17

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.2%

1.37

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

IH Hafnarfjordur attacking → ← attacking Hafnir

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

IH Hafnarfjordur scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Hafnir let in goals in 75% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

IH Hafnarfjordur went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Hafnir lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

42 Points in last 5 9

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 2.63

2.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88