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IL Express vs Lura - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 2016 game between IL Express and Lura finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
IL Express
20%
Draws
36%
Lura
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: IL Express

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lura come out ahead of IL Express on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
IL Express Clean Sheet 16%
Lura Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IL Express Lura
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.19 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.65 2.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2017 Division 3 - Group 3
IL Express vs Lura
1:3
May 20, 2017 Division 3 - Group 3
Lura vs IL Express
0:2
Aug 13, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
IL Express vs Lura
1:1
Apr 23, 2016 Division 3 - Group 5
Lura vs IL Express
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IL Express 36 / 100
Lura 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IL Express Lura

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lura Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lura let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: IL Express scored in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: IL Express remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

IL Express VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

IL Express

(Home)
10 Apr
IL Express
1 : 2
Arendal
23 Oct
Mandalskameratene
3 : 2
IL Express
16 Oct
IL Express
1 : 3
Eik-Tonsberg
08 Oct
Uradd
1 : 3
IL Express
04 Oct
IL Express
2 : 1
Start 2
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Lura

(Away)
21 Oct
Lura
2 : 2
Brodd
14 Oct
Staal Jorpeland
2 : 2
Lura
06 Oct
Lura
1 : 2
Viking 2
28 Sept
Madla IL
2 : 1
Lura
23 Sept
Lura
2 : 0
Tonsberg
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