Sport Picks

Stadium Background

IL Sparta/Brageroen vs Gruner - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 2 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gruner in this Division 3 - Group 2 2012 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gruner.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
IL Sparta/Brageroen
20%
Draws
29%
Gruner
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: IL Sparta/Brageroen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Gruner haven't matched IL Sparta/Brageroen's recent run of results.
  • Model gives IL Sparta/Brageroen a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
IL Sparta/Brageroen Clean Sheet 10%
Gruner Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric IL Sparta/Brageroen Gruner
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 3 4
Losses 14 22
Goals Scored 1.46 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.85 4.6
Expected Goals (xG) 3.38 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2012 Division 3 - Group 2
Gruner vs IL Sparta/Brageroen
2:4
Jun 2, 2012 Division 3 - Group 2
IL Sparta/Brageroen vs Gruner
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

IL Sparta/Brageroen 83 / 100
Gruner 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
IL Sparta/Brageroen Gruner

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IL Sparta/Brageroen Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gruner let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

IL Sparta/Brageroen scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Recent resilience: IL Sparta/Brageroen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

IL Sparta/Brageroen VS Gruner
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.88 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

IL Sparta/Brageroen

(Home)
20 Oct
IL Sparta/Brageroen
1 : 1
Jevnaker
14 Oct
Strommen 2
2 : 3
IL Sparta/Brageroen
08 Oct
IL Sparta/Brageroen
1 : 7
Lillestrom 2
01 Oct
Ull/Kisa 2
6 : 0
IL Sparta/Brageroen
22 Sept
IL Sparta/Brageroen
1 : 0
Honefoss 2
Page 1 of 6

Gruner

(Away)
20 Oct
Gruner
1 : 1
Boler
14 Oct
Vestfossen
9 : 0
Gruner
06 Oct
Gruner
4 : 2
Jevnaker
01 Oct
Strommen 2
13 : 0
Gruner
24 Sept
Gruner
0 : 3
Lillestrom 2
Page 1 of 6