Sport Picks

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Ilbirs vs Muras United

Kyrgyzstan Kyrgyzstan

Premier Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

55' Event
Kydyrshaev E.
88' Event
Atabaev E.

AI Match Summary

The Premier Liga game between Ilbirs and Muras United finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Muras United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ilbirs
35%
Draws
28%
Muras United
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Ilbirs

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Ilbirs haven't matched Muras United's recent run of results.
  • Ilbirs are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Muras United have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ilbirs Clean Sheet 16%
Muras United Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilbirs Muras United
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 17
Draws 13 8
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.21 2.2
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Premier Liga
Muras United vs Ilbirs
1:1
May 2, 2026 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Muras United
0:2
Aug 21, 2025 Premier Liga
Muras United vs Ilbirs
4:1
May 11, 2025 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Muras United
1:3
Oct 29, 2024 Premier Liga
Ilbirs vs Muras United
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilbirs Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Muras United Compare

Top Goalscorer Kydyrshaev E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Atabaev E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilbirs 41 / 100
Muras United 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilbirs Muras United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilbirs found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Ilbirs went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Muras United conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ilbirs VS Muras United
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilbirs

(Home)
11 Sept
Ilbirs
1 : 1
Bishkek City
19 Aug
Muras United
1 : 1
Ilbirs
15 Aug
Ilbirs
3 : 0
Dordoi Bishkek
11 Aug
Ilbirs
1 : 1
Asia Talas
07 Aug
Talant
0 : 2
Ilbirs
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Muras United

(Away)
10 Sept
Alay Osh
0 : 1
Muras United
01 Sept
Aldier
3 : 2
Muras United
23 Aug
Muras United
6 : 0
Kyrgyzaltyn
19 Aug
Muras United
1 : 1
Ilbirs
11 Aug
Fortis
1 : 0
Muras United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bars 22 14 4 4 63:31 46
2 Muras United 22 13 7 2 47:20 46
3 Alga Bishkek 22 13 6 3 41:23 45
4 Ozgon 22 14 2 6 48:27 44
5 Asia Talas 23 12 7 4 52:36 43
6 Alay Osh 23 12 5 6 31:27 41
7 Talant 24 7 9 8 29:25 30
8 Dordoi Bishkek 23 8 5 10 36:32 29
9 Neftchi Kochkor-Ata 23 9 2 12 31:39 29
10 Aldier 23 7 7 9 34:41 28
11 Toktogul 23 8 4 11 26:35 28
12 Ilbirs 22 5 10 7 28:34 25
13 Bishkek City 23 5 9 9 22:31 24
14 Asiagoal Bishkek 23 4 9 10 27:39 21
15 Abdysh-Ata Kant 23 2 5 16 18:49 11
16 Kyrgyzaltyn 23 1 5 17 19:63 8
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)