Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026

Ilicitano

0 - 1

Rayo Majadahonda

Our Tip

Match Events

54'

Faure I.

90'

Gonzalez N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 game between Ilicitano and Rayo Majadahonda finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rayo Majadahonda.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Ilicitano

17%

Draws

70%

Rayo Majadahonda

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Rayo Majadahonda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Rayo Majadahonda come out ahead of Ilicitano on wins alone.
Model gives Rayo Majadahonda a 70% chance of winning this.
Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%

Ilicitano Clean Sheet 15%

Rayo Majadahonda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ilicitano	Rayo Majadahonda
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	9	18
Draws	9	9
Losses	12	3
Goals Scored	1.88	1.5
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 5

Ilicitano vs Rayo Majadahonda

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Oct 25, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 5

Rayo Majadahonda vs Ilicitano

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 4 - 3

4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilicitano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Rayo Majadahonda Compare

Top Goalscorer Faure I.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.36

Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilicitano 15 / 100

Rayo Majadahonda 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ilicitano Rayo Majadahonda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RAY Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Ilicitano found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Rayo Majadahonda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 50% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Ilicitano remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ilicitano VS Rayo Majadahonda

1.88 Goals Scored 1.5

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13

100% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 38%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rayo Majadahonda	34	20	10	4	52:23	70
2	San Sebastian Reyes	34	21	7	6	51:27	70
3	Conquense	34	16	12	6	42:30	60
4	Getafe B	34	16	9	9	55:35	57
5	CD Coria	34	16	9	9	50:38	57
6	RSD Alcala	34	14	9	11	42:39	51
7	Tenerife B	34	15	5	14	57:53	50
8	Orihuela	34	12	10	12	45:43	46
9	CF Intercity	34	11	10	13	42:45	43
10	Navalcarnero	34	11	10	13	40:42	43
11	Las Palmas B	34	11	9	14	42:45	42
12	Ilicitano	34	10	11	13	51:56	41
13	Real Madrid C	34	11	7	16	42:45	40
14	Quintanar del Rey	34	11	6	17	36:43	39
15	CF Fuenlabrada	34	9	10	15	35:44	37
16	Colonia Moscardo	34	9	7	18	37:57	34
17	Socuellamos	34	7	10	17	34:55	31
18	Rayo Vallecano B	34	9	3	22	30:63	30