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Ilioupoli vs PAE Egaleo

Greece Greece

Super League 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Sapovalov A.
60' Event
Garcia J.
62' Event
N'Nomo U.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2 2025/2026 game between Ilioupoli and PAE Egaleo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward PAE Egaleo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Ilioupoli
15%
Draws
78%
PAE Egaleo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: PAE Egaleo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • PAE Egaleo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans PAE Egaleo's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Super League 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors PAE Egaleo here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Ilioupoli Clean Sheet 20%
PAE Egaleo Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilioupoli PAE Egaleo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.59 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Super League 2
Ilioupoli vs PAE Egaleo
1:3
Mar 15, 2026 Super League 2
PAE Egaleo vs Ilioupoli
2:0
Dec 7, 2025 Super League 2
PAE Egaleo vs Ilioupoli
3:0
Oct 4, 2025 Super League 2
Ilioupoli vs PAE Egaleo
1:2
Apr 5, 2025 Super League 2
Ilioupoli vs PAE Egaleo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilioupoli Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

PAE Egaleo Compare

Top Goalscorer Sapovalov A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader N'Nomo U.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilioupoli 10 / 100
PAE Egaleo 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilioupoli PAE Egaleo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAE Egaleo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: PAE Egaleo conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Ilioupoli scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Ilioupoli has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ilioupoli VS PAE Egaleo
0.25 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilioupoli

(Home)
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
1 : 0
Ilioupoli
04 Apr
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Ellas Syrou
29 Mar
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Athens Kallithea
21 Mar
Panargiakos
1 : 1
Ilioupoli
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PAE Egaleo

(Away)
27 Sept
PAE Egaleo
4 : 1
Apollon Kalythion
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
Panargiakos
3 : 2
PAE Egaleo
04 Apr
PAE Egaleo
1 : 0
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
29 Mar
PAE Egaleo
2 : 1
Ellas Syrou
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