Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iliria Kruja vs Kukesi

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026
Iliria Kruja Logo

Iliria Kruja

1 - 1
FT
Kukesi Logo

Kukesi

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Bespallov K.
55' Event
Fofana M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 game between Iliria Kruja and Kukesi finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Iliria Kruja
30%
Draws
35%
Kukesi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Iliria Kruja haven't matched Kukesi's recent run of results.
  • Iliria Kruja are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Iliria Kruja Clean Sheet 68%
Kukesi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iliria Kruja Kukesi
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 12
Draws 12 4
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals (xG) 1.32 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Kukesi
3:1
Mar 1, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Kukesi
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Iliria Kruja
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Kukesi
1:0
Nov 4, 2015 Albanian Cup
Kukesi vs Iliria Kruja
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iliria Kruja Compare

Top Goalscorer Fofana M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.02
Avg xA / game 0.66

Kukesi Compare

Top Goalscorer Bespallov K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iliria Kruja 59 / 100
Kukesi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iliria Kruja Kukesi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iliria Kruja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iliria Kruja scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Kukesi let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Iliria Kruja stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iliria Kruja VS Kukesi
1.14 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
86% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iliria Kruja

(Home)
20 Sept
Iliria Kruja
1 : 1
Bylis
16 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 1
Iliria Kruja
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
07 May
Iliria Kruja
0 : 2
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 6

Kukesi

(Away)
20 Sept
Kukesi
3 : 0
Korabi Peshkopi
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
05 Sept
Kukesi
2 : 0
Beselidhja Lezha
12 Aug
Kukesi
1 : 4
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)