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Iliria Kruja vs Kukesi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Kithambo D.
29' Event
Yakubu A.
64' Event
Matheus Alisson
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Iliria Kruja in this Kategoria e Parë matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iliria Kruja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Iliria Kruja
30%
Draws
28%
Kukesi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Iliria Kruja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Kukesi have won more games recently than Iliria Kruja.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Iliria Kruja Clean Sheet 68%
Kukesi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iliria Kruja Kukesi
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 13
Draws 11 4
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.58 1.32
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Kukesi
3:1
Mar 1, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Kukesi
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Kukesi vs Iliria Kruja
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Kukesi
1:0
Nov 4, 2015 Albanian Cup
Kukesi vs Iliria Kruja
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iliria Kruja Compare

Top Goalscorer Kithambo D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yakubu A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.79

Kukesi Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iliria Kruja 41 / 100
Kukesi 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iliria Kruja Kukesi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iliria Kruja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iliria Kruja went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Iliria Kruja scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Kukesi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Iliria Kruja VS Kukesi
1.29 Goals Scored 1.5
1.14 Goals Conceded 1.88
71% Over 1.5 100%
29% Over 2.5 75%
29% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Iliria Kruja

(Home)
07 Oct
Iliria Kruja
4 : 3
Koplik
20 Sept
Iliria Kruja
1 : 1
Bylis
16 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 1
Iliria Kruja
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
Page 1 of 6

Kukesi

(Away)
07 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 2
Erzeni Shijak
02 Oct
Teuta
5 : 0
Kukesi
20 Sept
Kukesi
3 : 0
Korabi Peshkopi
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 4 2 2 0 5:1 8
2 Besa Kavaje 4 2 1 1 13:5 7
3 Korabi Peshkopi 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
4 Iliria Kruja 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Bylis 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Kukesi 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
7 Kastrioti 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Burreli 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
9 Sopoti Librazhd 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
10 Beselidhja Lezha 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 Flamurtari 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
12 KF Oriku 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)