Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iliria Kruja vs Lushnja

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Selmani S.
43' Event
Mavanga D. J.
60' Event
Peqini J.

AI Match Summary

Iliria Kruja in this Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iliria Kruja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Iliria Kruja
35%
Draws
26%
Lushnja
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Iliria Kruja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iliria Kruja lately — more wins on the board than Lushnja.
  • Win probability leans Iliria Kruja's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Iliria Kruja Clean Sheet 68%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iliria Kruja Lushnja
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 5
Draws 11 6
Losses 10 18
Goals Scored 0.97 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Iliria Kruja
0:3
Feb 15, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Iliria Kruja vs Lushnja
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Iliria Kruja
1:0
May 16, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Iliria Kruja
2:0
Feb 29, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Iliria Kruja
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Iliria Kruja Compare

Top Goalscorer Selmani S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mavanga D. J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Lushnja Compare

Top Goalscorer Peqini J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iliria Kruja 86 / 100
Lushnja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iliria Kruja Lushnja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iliria Kruja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iliria Kruja found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Lushnja conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Iliria Kruja went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iliria Kruja VS Lushnja
1 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Iliria Kruja

(Home)
20 Sept
Iliria Kruja
1 : 1
Bylis
16 Sept
Korabi Peshkopi
1 : 1
Iliria Kruja
12 Sept
Iliria Kruja
3 : 1
Kukesi
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
07 May
Iliria Kruja
0 : 2
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 6

Lushnja

(Away)
03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4
Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3
Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0
Lushnja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1
Korabi Peshkopi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)