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Ilirija vs Dravinja - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Videnovic D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL game between Ilirija and Dravinja finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ilirija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Ilirija
15%
Draws
45%
Dravinja
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Dravinja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Ilirija carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Dravinja's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 13%
Dravinja Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilirija Dravinja
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 7
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.53 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Dravinja
1:0
May 6, 2026 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Ilirija
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Dravinja
2:5
Apr 19, 2025 2. SNL
Dravinja vs Ilirija
1:1
Oct 6, 2024 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Dravinja
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilirija 19 / 100
Dravinja 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilirija Dravinja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Dravinja Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dravinja let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ilirija scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Ilirija stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilirija VS Dravinja
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilirija

(Home)
06 Nov
Ilirija
1 : 4
Triglav
31 Oct
Vrhnika
1 : 4
Ilirija
27 Oct
Ilirija
3 : 0
Bilje
16 Oct
Ilirija
0 : 1
Tabor Sezana
10 Oct
Ilirija
2 : 1
NK Krka
Page 1 of 6

Dravinja

(Away)
31 Oct
Dravinja
1 : 0
Jadran Dekani
28 Oct
Krsko Posavje
0 : 6
Dravinja
16 Oct
Dravinja
2 : 1
Jesenice
11 Oct
Primorje
1 : 1
Dravinja
03 Oct
Dravinja
1 : 4
Slovan Ljubljana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 13 10 1 2 26:10 31
2 Beltinci 13 9 1 3 39:17 28
3 Triglav 13 9 1 3 27:12 28
4 Bistrica 13 7 2 4 19:16 23
5 Ilirija 13 7 1 5 24:13 22
6 Bilje 13 7 0 6 23:27 21
7 Rudar 13 6 1 6 23:20 19
8 Jesenice 13 5 3 5 22:21 18
9 Slovan Ljubljana 13 5 2 6 14:21 17
10 Jadran Dekani 13 4 4 5 7:8 16
11 Primorje 13 4 4 5 13:17 16
12 Dravinja 13 4 2 7 19:26 14
13 Vrhnika 13 4 2 7 12:22 14
14 NK Krka 13 4 1 8 17:22 13
15 Krsko Posavje 13 2 3 8 9:27 9
16 NK Brezice 13 1 4 8 12:27 7
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)