Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilirija vs Jesenice

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Urrutia A.
90' Event
Justinek D.

AI Match Summary

Ilirija in this 2. SNL 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilirija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ilirija
6%
Draws
4%
Jesenice
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ilirija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Ilirija have won more games recently than Jesenice.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Ilirija taking it.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ilirija have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 20%
Jesenice Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilirija Jesenice
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.38 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2026 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Jesenice
2:0
Aug 24, 2025 2. SNL
Jesenice vs Ilirija
0:3
May 28, 2016 3. SNL - Centre
Jesenice vs Ilirija
0:3
Nov 14, 2015 3. SNL - Centre
Ilirija vs Jesenice
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilirija Compare

Top Goalscorer Urrutia A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Justinek D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Jesenice Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilirija 85 / 100
Jesenice 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilirija Jesenice

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilirija scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Jesenice's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Jesenice lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilirija VS Jesenice
1.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilirija

(Home)
22 May
Ilirija
1 : 3
Beltinci
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
09 May
Ilirija
1 : 0
Bilje
06 May
Dravinja
2 : 1
Ilirija
30 Apr
Ilirija
0 : 2
Nafta
Page 1 of 6

Jesenice

(Away)
23 May
Jesenice
0 : 1
Dravinja
15 May
NK Krka
3 : 2
Jesenice
10 May
Jesenice
2 : 1
Rudar
07 May
Slovan Ljubljana
1 : 0
Jesenice
30 Apr
Jesenice
0 : 3
Triglav
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)