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Ilirija vs NK Krka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ilirija host NK Krka in the 2. SNL. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Ilirija at 1.34 goals for, 1.52 against; NK Krka at 1.19 for, 1.77 against. Past meetings favor Ilirija slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 24, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.13, favoring Ilirija. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Ilirija
15%
Draws
51%
NK Krka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: NK Krka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Ilirija lately — more wins on the board than NK Krka.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ilirija taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 20%
NK Krka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilirija NK Krka
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.34 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 2. SNL
NK Krka vs Ilirija
1:4
Oct 12, 2025 2. SNL
Ilirija vs NK Krka
1:1
Mar 29, 2025 2. SNL
Ilirija vs NK Krka
1:1
Sep 13, 2024 2. SNL
NK Krka vs Ilirija
1:0
Mar 15, 2024 2. SNL
NK Krka vs Ilirija
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilirija 36 / 100
NK Krka 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilirija NK Krka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilirija scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

NK Krka's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

NK Krka lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilirija VS NK Krka
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilirija

(Home)
04 Oct
Ilirija
2 : 4
Beltinci
25 Sept
Jadran Dekani
1 : 0
Ilirija
19 Sept
Ilirija
2 : 0
Krsko Posavje
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
04 Sept
Ilirija
0 : 0
Primorje
Page 1 of 6

NK Krka

(Away)
03 Oct
Tabor Sezana
2 : 1
NK Krka
27 Sept
Beltinci
3 : 0
NK Krka
20 Sept
NK Krka
1 : 2
Jadran Dekani
12 Sept
Krsko Posavje
0 : 1
NK Krka
05 Sept
NK Krka
2 : 0
Jesenice
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 9 7 1 1 20:7 22
2 Triglav 9 6 1 2 18:5 19
3 Beltinci 9 6 1 2 23:11 19
4 Jesenice 9 5 1 3 16:12 16
5 Slovan Ljubljana 9 5 1 3 13:15 16
6 Rudar 9 5 0 4 19:16 15
7 Bilje 9 5 0 4 17:17 15
8 Vrhnika 9 4 2 3 10:12 14
9 Ilirija 9 4 1 4 15:10 13
10 Bistrica 9 4 1 4 12:14 13
11 Jadran Dekani 9 3 3 3 6:6 12
12 Primorje 9 2 3 4 10:15 9
13 Krsko Posavje 9 2 3 4 8:15 9
14 NK Krka 9 2 1 6 9:16 7
15 Dravinja 9 1 1 7 9:24 4
16 NK Brezice 9 0 2 7 8:18 2
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)