Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilirija vs Rudar

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Cuk T.
73' Event
Cuk T.

AI Match Summary

Ilirija in this 2. SNL matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilirija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Ilirija
15%
Draws
48%
Rudar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rudar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Rudar have won more games recently than Ilirija.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Ilirija taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 16%
Rudar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilirija Rudar
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Rudar
2:0
Apr 11, 2026 2. SNL
Rudar vs Ilirija
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Rudar
2:2
May 24, 2025 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Rudar
1:2
Nov 17, 2024 2. SNL
Rudar vs Ilirija
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilirija Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuk T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Rudar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilirija 36 / 100
Rudar 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilirija Rudar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilirija's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Rudar conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Ilirija has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ilirija VS Rudar
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilirija

(Home)
19 Sept
Ilirija
2 : 0
Krsko Posavje
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
04 Sept
Ilirija
0 : 0
Primorje
28 Aug
Slovan Ljubljana
2 : 1
Ilirija
22 Aug
Ilirija
2 : 0
Rudar
Page 1 of 6

Rudar

(Away)
19 Sept
NK Brezice
3 : 4
Rudar
13 Sept
Rudar
2 : 0
Triglav
04 Sept
Vrhnika
4 : 2
Rudar
29 Aug
Rudar
4 : 1
Bilje
22 Aug
Ilirija
2 : 0
Rudar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tabor Sezana 7 5 1 1 17:6 16
2 Triglav 7 5 0 2 13:4 15
3 Ilirija 7 4 1 2 13:5 13
4 Beltinci 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
5 Jesenice 7 4 1 2 11:8 13
6 Vrhnika 7 4 1 2 10:7 13
7 Rudar 7 4 0 3 15:12 12
8 Bilje 7 4 0 3 14:14 12
9 Bistrica 7 3 1 3 9:12 10
10 Slovan Ljubljana 7 3 1 3 8:14 10
11 Jadran Dekani 7 2 3 2 5:4 9
12 NK Krka 7 2 1 4 8:11 7
13 Primorje 7 2 1 4 8:13 7
14 Krsko Posavje 7 1 2 4 5:14 5
15 Dravinja 7 1 1 5 7:17 4
16 NK Brezice 7 0 1 6 7:16 1
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)