Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilirija vs Rudar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Cuk T.
73' Event
Cuk T.

AI Match Summary

Ilirija in this 2. SNL matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ilirija.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Ilirija
15%
Draws
26%
Rudar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ilirija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Ilirija have won more games recently than Rudar.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Ilirija taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 15%
Rudar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilirija Rudar
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.52 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Rudar
2:0
Apr 11, 2026 2. SNL
Rudar vs Ilirija
0:0
Sep 27, 2025 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Rudar
2:2
May 24, 2025 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Rudar
1:2
Nov 17, 2024 2. SNL
Rudar vs Ilirija
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilirija Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuk T.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Rudar Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilirija 48 / 100
Rudar 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilirija Rudar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilirija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilirija's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Rudar conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Ilirija has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ilirija VS Rudar
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilirija

(Home)
06 Nov
Ilirija
1 : 4
Triglav
31 Oct
Vrhnika
1 : 4
Ilirija
27 Oct
Ilirija
3 : 0
Bilje
16 Oct
Ilirija
0 : 1
Tabor Sezana
10 Oct
Ilirija
2 : 1
NK Krka
Page 1 of 6

Rudar

(Away)
31 Oct
Rudar
2 : 2
Jesenice
27 Oct
Primorje
1 : 0
Rudar
17 Oct
Rudar
2 : 0
Slovan Ljubljana
09 Oct
Tabor Sezana
1 : 0
Rudar
04 Oct
Bistrica
3 : 1
Rudar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Triglav 14 10 1 3 31:13 31
2 Tabor Sezana 13 10 1 2 26:10 31
3 Beltinci 13 9 1 3 39:17 28
4 Bistrica 14 7 2 5 19:17 23
5 Ilirija 14 7 1 6 25:17 22
6 Bilje 13 7 0 6 23:27 21
7 Rudar 13 6 1 6 23:20 19
8 Jadran Dekani 14 5 4 5 8:8 19
9 Jesenice 13 5 3 5 22:21 18
10 Slovan Ljubljana 13 5 2 6 14:21 17
11 Primorje 13 4 4 5 13:17 16
12 Dravinja 13 4 2 7 19:26 14
13 Vrhnika 13 4 2 7 12:22 14
14 NK Krka 13 4 1 8 17:22 13
15 Krsko Posavje 13 2 3 8 9:27 9
16 NK Brezice 13 1 4 8 12:27 7
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)