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Stadium Background

Ilirija vs Triglav - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Hodzic N.
20' Event
Poplatnik M.
22' Event
Podlesnik N.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL game between Ilirija and Triglav finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Triglav.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Ilirija
15%
Draws
49%
Triglav
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Triglav

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Triglav carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ilirija are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 11%
Triglav Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilirija Triglav
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 20
Draws 4 4
Losses 14 5
Goals Scored 1.52 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.45 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 6, 2026 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Triglav
1:4
Mar 14, 2026 2. SNL
Triglav vs Ilirija
1:1
Sep 3, 2025 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Triglav
0:2
Nov 26, 2024 2. SNL
Triglav vs Ilirija
1:0
Aug 9, 2024 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Triglav
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilirija Compare

Top Goalscorer Podlesnik N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Triglav Compare

Top Goalscorer Hodzic N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poplatnik M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilirija 35 / 100
Triglav 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilirija Triglav

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilirija scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ilirija stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Triglav conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Ilirija VS Triglav
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilirija

(Home)
06 Nov
Ilirija
1 : 4
Triglav
31 Oct
Vrhnika
1 : 4
Ilirija
27 Oct
Ilirija
3 : 0
Bilje
16 Oct
Ilirija
0 : 1
Tabor Sezana
10 Oct
Ilirija
2 : 1
NK Krka
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Triglav

(Away)
06 Nov
Ilirija
1 : 4
Triglav
02 Nov
Triglav
2 : 4
NK Krka
28 Oct
Beltinci
3 : 4
Triglav
23 Oct
Triglav
2 : 1
Nafta
16 Oct
Triglav
1 : 0
Jadran Dekani
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Triglav 14 10 1 3 31:13 31
2 Tabor Sezana 13 10 1 2 26:10 31
3 Beltinci 13 9 1 3 39:17 28
4 Bistrica 14 7 2 5 19:17 23
5 Ilirija 14 7 1 6 25:17 22
6 Bilje 13 7 0 6 23:27 21
7 Rudar 13 6 1 6 23:20 19
8 Jadran Dekani 14 5 4 5 8:8 19
9 Jesenice 13 5 3 5 22:21 18
10 Slovan Ljubljana 13 5 2 6 14:21 17
11 Primorje 13 4 4 5 13:17 16
12 Dravinja 13 4 2 7 19:26 14
13 Vrhnika 13 4 2 7 12:22 14
14 NK Krka 13 4 1 8 17:22 13
15 Krsko Posavje 13 2 3 8 9:27 9
16 NK Brezice 13 1 4 8 12:27 7
Promotion - Prva liga 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga (Relegation)