Sport Picks
Match Events
53'
53'
Odunaiya D.
71'
71'
Walker J.
AI Match Summary
The NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 game between Ilkeston and Bamber Bridge finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ilkeston.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
15%
85%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bamber Bridge
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Ilkeston carry the better recent record into this one.
- 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Ilkeston have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 10%
Bamber Bridge Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ilkeston | Bamber Bridge |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 27 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 16 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.96 | 1.11 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 2.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Bamber Bridge
2:0
Aug 23, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Bamber Bridge vs Ilkeston
2:0
Apr 26, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Bamber Bridge vs Ilkeston
1:2
Aug 24, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Bamber Bridge
2:1
Apr 16, 2024 NPL Premier Division
Bamber Bridge vs Ilkeston
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Ilkeston Compare
Top Goalscorer Odunaiya D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Walker J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
Bamber Bridge Compare
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ilkeston 30 / 100
Bamber Bridge 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ilkeston Bamber Bridge
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bamber Bridge has conceded goals in 85% of their last 27 outings.
Ilkeston's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Away concern: Bamber Bridge has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Ilkeston VS Bamber Bridge
0.5 Goals Scored 2
2.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Ilkeston
(Home) 06 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 2 Guiseley
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1 Ilkeston
29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1 Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Ilkeston
1 : 3 Anstey Nomads
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1 Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 2 Guiseley
29 Sept
Ilkeston
0 : 1 Warrington Rylands
26 Sept
Ilkeston
1 : 3 Anstey Nomads
31 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 2 Quorn
22 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 3 Cleethorpes
Page 1 of 3
Bamber Bridge
(Away) 03 Oct
Bamber Bridge
2 : 4 Quorn
26 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 2 Bamber Bridge
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2 Bamber Bridge
12 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 0 Alfreton
05 Sept
Bamber Bridge
1 : 3 Trafford
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Guiseley
4 : 2 Bamber Bridge
19 Sept
Stockton
5 : 2 Bamber Bridge
31 Aug
Warrington Rylands
3 : 1 Bamber Bridge
22 Aug
Leek Town
4 : 1 Bamber Bridge
18 Aug
Curzon Ashton
2 : 2 Bamber Bridge
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hebburn Town | 40 | 23 | 10 | 7 | 75:41 | 79 |
| 2 | Hednesford | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 62:35 | 77 |
| 3 | United of Manchester | 40 | 21 | 9 | 10 | 65:41 | 72 |
| 4 | Warrington Rylands | 40 | 18 | 13 | 9 | 59:42 | 67 |
| 5 | Stockton | 40 | 18 | 12 | 10 | 62:50 | 63 |
| 6 | Lancaster | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 56:45 | 62 |
| 7 | Gainsborough | 40 | 16 | 11 | 13 | 50:45 | 59 |
| 8 | Leek Town | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 50:52 | 58 |
| 9 | Cleethorpes | 40 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 56:47 | 55 |
| 10 | Ashton United | 40 | 14 | 11 | 15 | 47:54 | 53 |
| 11 | Ilkeston | 40 | 15 | 7 | 18 | 52:54 | 52 |
| 12 | Bamber Bridge | 40 | 14 | 8 | 18 | 52:52 | 50 |
| 13 | Guiseley | 40 | 13 | 9 | 18 | 46:56 | 48 |
| 14 | Warrington Town | 40 | 12 | 12 | 16 | 43:63 | 48 |
| 15 | Hyde | 40 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 58:63 | 47 |
| 16 | Rushall | 40 | 12 | 11 | 17 | 48:61 | 47 |
| 17 | Whitby | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:55 | 43 |
| 18 | Workington | 40 | 10 | 13 | 17 | 43:58 | 43 |
| 19 | Prescot Cables | 40 | 9 | 15 | 16 | 40:50 | 42 |
| 20 | Morpeth | 40 | 12 | 6 | 22 | 38:54 | 42 |
| 21 | Stocksbridge | 40 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 38:65 | 36 |
Promotion - National League North (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
