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Ilkeston vs Cleethorpes - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

NPL Premier Division
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Bramwell J.
35' Event
Walker J.
90' Event
Hughes L.

AI Match Summary

Cleethorpes in this NPL Premier Division matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cleethorpes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Ilkeston
20%
Draws
63%
Cleethorpes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cleethorpes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

63% / High Confidence
  • Cleethorpes have won more games recently than Ilkeston.
  • Model gives Cleethorpes a 63% chance of winning this.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Cleethorpes have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 10%
Cleethorpes Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilkeston Cleethorpes
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 10
Losses 17 5
Goals Scored 1 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.87 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Cleethorpes
0:3
Jan 24, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Cleethorpes vs Ilkeston
0:0
Sep 16, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Cleethorpes
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilkeston Compare

Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28

Cleethorpes Compare

Top Goalscorer Bramwell J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Walker J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilkeston 10 / 100
Cleethorpes 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilkeston Cleethorpes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cleethorpes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ilkeston scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Cleethorpes has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Ilkeston has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ilkeston VS Cleethorpes
0.5 Goals Scored 2
2.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilkeston

(Home)
17 Oct
Ilkeston
2 : 0
Avro
13 Oct
Gainsborough
3 : 1
Ilkeston
10 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 5
Redcar Athletic
06 Oct
Ilkeston
0 : 2
Guiseley
03 Oct
Lancaster
2 : 1
Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6

Cleethorpes

(Away)
10 Oct
Cleethorpes
3 : 0
Warrington Rylands
06 Oct
Cleethorpes
1 : 0
Hyde
03 Oct
Workington
1 : 1
Cleethorpes
26 Sept
Cleethorpes
5 : 1
Lancaster
22 Sept
Cleethorpes
1 : 1
Redcar Athletic
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Redcar Athletic 15 10 4 1 33:13 34
2 Cleethorpes 14 9 3 2 31:9 30
3 Guiseley 13 9 1 3 27:12 28
4 Gainsborough 13 8 1 4 29:16 25
5 Avro 13 8 1 4 34:25 25
6 Workington 15 7 3 5 26:25 24
7 Warrington Town 13 6 5 2 24:19 23
8 Warrington Rylands 14 7 2 5 25:21 23
9 Curzon Ashton 13 7 1 5 24:17 22
10 Alfreton 15 6 2 7 21:17 20
11 Lancaster 15 6 2 7 20:28 20
12 Bury FC 11 6 1 4 22:11 19
13 Whitby 14 6 1 7 20:33 19
14 Hyde 15 4 3 8 15:29 15
15 Leek Town 13 3 5 5 26:26 14
16 Ashton United 13 3 5 5 15:15 14
17 Quorn 13 3 5 5 23:29 14
18 AFC Emley 14 3 5 6 15:26 14
19 Stockton 15 3 3 9 18:28 12
20 Bamber Bridge 14 2 4 8 17:34 10
21 Ilkeston 15 3 1 11 10:34 10
22 United of Manchester 12 1 4 7 15:23 7
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