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Ilkeston vs Cleethorpes

England England

NPL Premier Division
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ilkeston host Cleethorpes in the NPL Premier Division. This one's hard to separate. Ilkeston have averaged 1.24 scored and 1.17 conceded recently, against Cleethorpes's 1.38 scored and 1.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Ilkeston have won 0 to Cleethorpes's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.25, favoring Cleethorpes. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ilkeston
20%
Draws
38%
Cleethorpes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ilkeston

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Cleethorpes average 1.38 goals a game right now, well clear of Ilkeston's 1.24.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular NPL Premier Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 19%
Cleethorpes Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilkeston Cleethorpes
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 7 11
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.24 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 NPL Premier Division
Cleethorpes vs Ilkeston
0:0
Sep 16, 2025 NPL Premier Division
Ilkeston vs Cleethorpes
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilkeston 32 / 100
Cleethorpes 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilkeston Cleethorpes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cleethorpes Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cleethorpes conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ilkeston stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Ilkeston scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ilkeston VS Cleethorpes
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilkeston

(Home)
15 Aug
Whitby
2 : 0
Ilkeston
11 Aug
AFC Emley
1 : 2
Ilkeston
08 Aug
Ilkeston
1 : 0
Stockton
28 Jul
Ilkeston
4 : 1
Basford Utd.
11 Jul
Worksop
3 : 1
Ilkeston
Page 1 of 6

Cleethorpes

(Away)
15 Aug
Warrington Town
1 : 1
Cleethorpes
11 Aug
Quorn
0 : 5
Cleethorpes
08 Aug
Cleethorpes
2 : 0
Bamber Bridge
25 Jul
Cleethorpes
2 : 2
Grimsby Borough
18 Jul
Cleethorpes
0 : 1
Harrogate
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cleethorpes 3 2 1 0 8:1 7
2 Warrington Town 3 2 1 0 6:2 7
3 Bury FC 3 2 1 0 4:2 7
4 Gainsborough 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
5 Avro 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
6 Alfreton 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
7 Ashton United 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
8 Whitby 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
9 Ilkeston 3 2 0 1 3:3 6
10 Redcar Athletic 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
11 Guiseley 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
12 AFC Emley 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
13 Hyde 3 1 1 1 2:4 4
14 Warrington Rylands 3 1 0 2 3:2 3
15 Curzon Ashton 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
16 Lancaster 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
17 Bamber Bridge 3 1 0 2 2:8 3
18 Leek Town 3 0 2 1 3:4 2
19 Stockton 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
20 Workington 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
21 Quorn 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
22 United of Manchester 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - National League North 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)
Promotion - NPL Premier Division (Play Offs)